- The Seahawks are a three-point home favorite against the Texans.
- The Texans have lost 12 straight October road games against NFC opponents.
- My Seahawks vs Texans prediction is the Total Under 42 Points (-110).
Following a Week 6 bye, the Texans return to action on MNF against the Seahawks.
Houston last captured a 44-10 road win over the Ravens in Week 5. The win improved DeMeco Ryans’ team to 2-3 on the season, good for third in the AFC South.
Seattle improved to 4-2 in Week 6 with a road win over the Jaguars. Now, Mike Macdonald goes for his first home win of the 2025 season.
Bet on Seahawks vs. Texans and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds.
Seahawks vs. Texans: NFL Week 7 Odds
Seahawks vs. Texans Prediction
Based on Houston’s defensive strength against good competition and Seattle’s extended rest, my Seahawks vs Texans prediction is the Total Under 42 Points (-110).
Houston plays this game off a bye week. Accordingly, I carry a lot of faith in the defense showing up.
Through five games, Houston ranks fourth in defensive DVOA, per ftnfantasy.com. They’ve accomplished that feat against the league’s 11th-hardest set of offenses.
Seattle offers a difficult test offensively. Behind Sam Darnold, the Seahawks entered Week 6 third in offensive DVOA.
But Houston carries a key edge over Seattle’s offense. The Texans rank third in pass-rush win rate while Seattle ranks 22nd in the corresponding offensive category, per ESPN.
I simultaneously rate Monday’s game a good sell-high spot on Houston’s offense.
Houston scored 44 points against a banged-up Ravens defense. Excluding Baltimore’s Week 6 performance, the Ravens ranked 26th in defensive DVOA.
Now the offense takes a step up in competition. Seattle limited Jacksonville to only 12 points in Week 6 and sat seventh in defensive DVOA before the matchup.
Seattle’s lone concerning performance came against Tampa Bay. The team allowed 38 points in Week 5, but it came against a top-10 DVOA offense.
Houston ranks 17th in offensive DVOA, having faced the league’s 24th-hardest set of defenses.
Lastly, history suggests this game could prove a low-scoring one.
Since 2003, games featuring a total between 42 and 45.5 have been 64% to the under, assuming two factors:
- The home team has 8-9 days between games
- The away team has 8-15 days between games
Since 2018, those games are 31-5 to the under.
Betting Seahawks vs. Texans: NFL Public Betting
| Team | % of ATS Bets | % of ATS Money | % of ML Bets | % of ML Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | 27% | 31% | 35% | 24% |
| Seahawks | 73% | 69% | 65% | 76% |
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