Aston Villa vs. Wolves Prediction, Odds & Match Preview

Nick Hennion @nickhennion Sep 20, 2024, 4:53 PM
  • Aston Villa is predicted to be a -0.5-goal favorite against Wolves.
  • Villa have seen 23 of their last 28 matches clear 2.5 goals as a favorite.
  • I predict bettors will see another high-scoring contest on Saturday.

Riding a three-game winning streak in all competitions, Aston Villa welcomes Wolves to Villa Park on Saturday. 

Unai Emery’s squad has captured two straight league wins and delivered a 3-0 win against Young Boys in their opening Champions League match. 

Wolves’ current form leaves something to be desired. Gary O’Neil’s side is winless in three straight in all competitions and only has one point in the league. 

Here’s a look at the Premier League odds and my Aston Villa vs. Wolves prediction. 

Aston Villa vs. Wolves Odds, Premier League

  • Aston Villa Moneyline: -175
  • Wolves Moneyline: +425
  • Draw Moneyline: +340
  • Over/Under: 3.5 Goals (+125/-175)
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes (-165), No (+115)

Aston Villa vs. Wolves Prediction: Same Game Parlay

My Aston Villa vs. Wolves prediction is a Same Game Parlay: Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (-110). 

Until Villa reverses trends, I’ll continue to back the over in matches where they close a market favorite. 

Under Unai Emery, Villa have seen 30 of 40 matches clear 2.5 goals when favored, including 23 of the last 28 matches. 

One failure came against Wolves in the previous meeting. But don’t let the 2-0 scoreline fool you: Wolves were unlucky to be kept off the scoresheet. 

O’Neil’s side, which didn’t feature Matheus Cunha or Hwang Hee-Chang, still managed to amass 1.5 expected goals and three big scoring chances. 

Villa goalkeeper Emi Martinez saved 1.4 goals over expected, too, so it wasn’t as if Wolves were taking low-quality shots. 

That also remains one of only two Villa clean sheets in 22 league matches without Boubacar Kamara, both of which were undeserved by post-shot expected goals. 

With Villa playing three matches in a week, Wolves should score. 

At the same time, Villa’s attacking is flying right now. 

They’ve cleared two post-shot xG in consecutive league matches, while Wolves have struggled against even inferior attacks. 

Nottingham Forest created 1.7 psxG against Wolves, who also surrendered at least 1.7 psxG to Chelsea, Arsenal and Newcastle. 

Add in only five teams surrendered more expected goals away from home than Wolves last season, and I’ll back this match to clear 2.5 goals. 

Aston Villa Record, Last 5 Matches

  • Sept. 17 at Young Boys: 3-0, W (Champions League)
  • Sept. 14 vs. Everton: 3-2, W
  • Aug. 31 at Leicester City: 2-1, W
  • Aug. 24 vs. Arsenal: 0-2, L
  • Aug. 17 at West Ham: 2-1, W

Wolves Record, Last 5 Matches

  • Sept. 18 at Brighton: 2-3, L (EFL Cup)
  • Sept. 15 vs. Newcastle: 1-2, L
  • Aug. 31 at Nottingham Forest: 1-1, D
  • Aug. 28 vs. Burnley: 2-0, W (EFL Cup)
  • Aug. 25 vs. Chelsea: 2-6, L

Visit the BetMGM online sportsbook for the latest Aston Villa odds and Wolverhampton Wanderers odds!

EPL Match Schedule This Weekend

HomeAwayDateTime (ET)Location
Newcastle UnitedManchester CitySep. 287:30 a.m.St. James' Park
ArsenalLeicester CitySep. 2810 a.m.Emirates Stadium
BrentfordWest Ham UnitedSep. 2810 a.m.GTech Community Stadium
ChelseaBrighton & Hove AlbionSep. 2810 a.m.Stamford Bridge
EvertonCrystal PalaceSep. 2810 a.m.Goodison Park
Nottingham ForestFulhamSep. 2810 a.m.The City Ground
WolvesLiverpoolSep. 2812:30 p.m.Molineux
Ipswich TownAston VillaSep. 299 a.m.Portman Road
Manchester UnitedTottenhamSep. 2911:30 a.m.Old Trafford
BournemouthSouthamptonSep. 303 p.m. Vitality Stadium

EPL Standings

TeamRecord (Wins-Draws-Losses)PointsGoal Differential
Manchester City4-1-0138
Liverpool4-0-1129
Aston Villa4-0-1123
Arsenal3-2-0115
Chelsea3-1-1106
Newcastle United3-1-1101
Brighton & Hove Albion2-3-094
Nottingham Forest2-3-092
Fulham2-2-182
Tottenham Hotspur2-1-274
Manchester United2-1-270
Brentford2-0-36-2
Bournemouth1-2-25-3
West Ham United1-1-34-4
Leicester City0-3-23-2
Crystal Palace0-3-23-3
Ipswich Town0-3-23-5
Southampton0-1-41-7
Everton0-1-41-9
Wolverhampton Wanderers0-1-41-9

EPL ATS Records

TeamATS RecordATS Win Pct.Home ATS RecordHome ATS Win Pct.Road ATS RecordRoad ATS Win Pct.
Arsenal3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Aston Villa4-1-0.8002-1-0.6672-0-01.000
Bournemouth3-2-0.6001-1-0.5002-1-0.667
Brentford3-2-0.6002-0-01.0001-2-0.333
Brighton & Hove Albion3-2-0.6001-2-0.3332-0-01.000
Chelsea3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Crystal Palace2-3-0.4001-2-0.3331-1-0.500
Everton1-4-0.2000-2-0.0001-2-0.333
Fulham2-3-0.4002-1-0.6670-2-0.000
Ipswich Town3-2-0.6001-1-0.5002-1-0.667
Leicester City2-3-0.4001-2-0.3331-1-0.500
Liverpool4-1-0.8002-1-0.6672-0-01.000
Manchester City3-2-0.6001-2-0.3332-0-01.000
Manchester United2-3-0.4001-1-0.5001-2-0.333
Newcastle United2-3-0.4001-1-0.5001-2-0.333
Nottingham Forest3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Southampton1-4-0.2000-3-0.0001-1-0.500
Tottenham Hotspur2-3-0.4002-1-0.5000-2-0.000
West Ham United2-3-0.4000-3-0.0002-0-01.000
Wolverhampton Wanderers2-3-0.4000-2-0.0002-1-0.667
EPL Odds

EPL Early Payout

When betting on EPL Match Result odds, you can receive an early payout if your team takes a 2-0 lead.

Check your Promotions for more info!

jamie-foxx-latest-promo-9-24
About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.