- Liverpool is predicted to be a 0.5-goal home favorite against Man City.
- Manchester City has failed to win three straight EPL road matches.
- My Liverpool vs Man City prediction is Liverpool Over 1.5 Goals (-110).
The marquee fixture of EPL Matchday 25 pits Liverpool against Man City at Anfield.Â
Liverpool throttled Newcastle United 4-1 in its last league outing. Now, the current title holders will try to avenge a 3-0 loss at Man City earlier this season.Â
City started well at Tottenham, gaining a 2-0 advantage. However, a lackluster second-half effort resigned City to a point and dropped them six points out of the lead.Â
Check out the Premier League odds and my Liverpool vs Man City prediction.Â
Liverpool vs Man City: Premier League Odds
Man City vs Liverpool: Prediction
If Ruben Dias fails to appear in the Starting XI at Anfield on Sunday, my Liverpool vs Man City prediction is Liverpool Over 1.5 Goals (-110).Â
This is not the same City defense that held Liverpool to 0.6 xG and 0.1 post-shot xG at the Etihad.Â
Dias, Josko Gvardiol and John Stones are all missing due to injury. Dias could return for this game, which would boost a defense that has struggled lately.Â
Pep Guardiola’s side managed only one clean sheet in its last five league matches. That success came against Wolves, which ranks 19th in expected goals this season.Â
Away from home, City’s results are even more concerning. Manchester United generated over three xG while an anemic Tottenham attack reached 1.5.Â
Liverpool offers a difficult analysis test. They’ve benefitted the most from opponent red cards (5), which likely inflates their underlying metrics.Â
Still, the attack went out and created 3.1 xG against Newcastle on Matchday 24.Â
For the entire season, Newcastle and City offer similar defensive records. City has allowed 29.1 xG while Newcastle has allowed 30.Â
Additionally, Liverpool enters Sunday’s game carrying a massive rest advantage. City faces a Wednesday League Cup semifinal before heading to Anfield on Sunday.Â
If there’s a concern with Liverpool, it’s that they face a Sunday-Wednesday fixture duo before returning home next Saturday for a FA Cup tie.Â
That congestion could lead to some rotation from Arne Slot. However, I’m inclined to believe this fixture gets the strongest squad.Â
Accordingly, it’s a look at the Liverpool team total or nothing in this fixture.Â
EPL Early Payout
When betting on EPL Match Result odds, you can receive an early payout if your team takes a 2-0 lead.
Check your Promotions for more info!
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
