- The Packers are +1 point favorites vs the Cowboys
- Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- Watch this game on NBC | PEAC
The Dallas Cowboys (2-3-0) visit Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers (3-2-0) on Oct. 18. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 pm in Green Bay, WI.
The Packers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at +1 (-135).
The Cowboys vs. Packers Over/Under is 50.5 total points for the game.
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Cowboys vs. Packers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Cowboys | -1 +105 | 50.5 +120 | +100 |
| Packers | +1 -135 | 50.5 -160 | -120 |
Cowboys vs. Packers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Packers will win this game with 50.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Cowboys vs Packers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Packers will cover the spread with 50.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cowboys Player Prop Bets Today
- Jake Ferguson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Javonte Williams has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jake Ferguson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- KaVontae Turpin has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Dak Prescott has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.60 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Packers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Packers Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jordan Love has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- Josh Jacobs has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jonnu Smith has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.27 Units / 36% ROI)
- Josh Jacobs has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.65 Units / 63% ROI)
- Kaleb Johnson has hit the Carries Under in his last 5 games (+5.55 Units / 90% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Packers vs Cowboys
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Javonte Williams | +450 |
| MarShawn Lloyd | +575 |
| CeeDee Lamb | +850 |
| Christian Watson | +900 |
| Matthew Golden | +950 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Packers vs Cowboys
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Javonte Williams | -175 |
| MarShawn Lloyd | -125 |
| CeeDee Lamb | +110 |
| Christian Watson | +120 |
| Matthew Golden | +130 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Packers vs Cowboys
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| CeeDee Lamb | 82.5 -115 | 82.5 -115 |
| Christian Watson | 72.5 -115 | 72.5 -115 |
| George Pickens | 71.5 -115 | 71.5 -115 |
| Matthew Golden | 64.5 -115 | 64.5 -115 |
| Tucker Kraft | 48.5 -115 | 48.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Packers vs Cowboys
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Javonte Williams | 70.5 -115 | 70.5 -115 |
| Dak Prescott | 10.5 -120 | 10.5 -110 |
| Jordan Love | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Cowboys Best Bets:
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.75 Units / 34% ROI)
Packers Best Bets:
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 20 games (+2.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 21 games (+2.10 Units / 9% ROI)
Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys are 3-2 (+0.8 Units / 14.29% ROI).
- Cowboys are 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -49.53% ROI
- Cowboys are 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
- CowboysCowboysCowboys are 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI
Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers are 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -22.02% ROI).
- Packers are 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -4.64% ROI
- Packers are 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Packers are 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers
The Cowboys are winless (0-3) when passing for less than 200 yards since the 2025 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .437.
The Cowboys are undefeated (3-0) when allowing less than 22 points since the 2025 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .778.
The Cowboys are winless (0-3) when converting less than 30% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2025 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .335.
The Cowboys are 5-6-1 (.417) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter since the 2025 season — T-10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .494.
Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys
The Packers are 11-4-1 (.688) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2025 season — 10th-best in NFL. The Cowboys have averaged just 1.8 sacks per game over that time span — T-2nd-worst in NFL.
Packers are 11-5-1 (.647) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush (10th-best in NFL) and just .200 when allowing more than 5 yards per rush since the 2025 season (T-7th-worst in NFL).
Packers are 9-3 (.750) when allowing an average of less than 5 yards on first down (8th-best in NFL) and just .222 when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down since the 2025 season (5th-worst in NFL).
Packers are 10-1-1 (.833) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns (4th-best in NFL) and just .200 when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2025 season (6th-worst in NFL).
Additional Matchup Notes for Dallas Cowboys vs. Green Bay Packers
The Packers have a third down conversion rate of 43.9% since the 2025 season — 4th-best in NFL. The Cowboys defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 48.4% since the 2025 season — worst in NFL.
The Packers have averaged 0.30 epa per play on play action passes since the 2025 season — best in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed 0.23 epa per play on play action passes since the 2025 season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.
The Packers have been successful on 55.2% of plays they have run on play action passes since the 2025 season — 4th-best in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed a success rate of 54.1% on play action passes since the 2025 season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Cowboys have a third down conversion rate of just 14.3% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2025 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Packers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 13.7% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2025 season — 5th-best in NFL.
Cowboys RBs have 6 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — T-3rd-most in NFL. The Packers have allowed 8 rushing TDs this season — 2nd-most in NFL.
Cowboys RBs have 6 rushing touchdowns this season — T-5th-most in NFL. The Packers have allowed 8 rushing TDs this season — 2nd-most in NFL.
Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats
The Cowboys have scored on 60% of their drives (6/10) in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Cowboys have run the ball on 36% of plays (28 carries/78 plays) on 3rd and short since the 2025 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 55%.
The Cowboys have run the ball on 16% of plays (44 carries/268 plays) on 3rd down since the 2025 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 26%.
The Cowboys have targeted WRs 69% of the time (133 Pass Attempts/192 plays) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 55%.
Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats
The Packers have averaged 6.4 yards per play against tight coverage since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 3.3.
The Packers have averaged -0.07 epa per play against tight coverage since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.48.
The Packers have gone three and out 9 times in the 2nd quarter this season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Packers have a third down conversion rate of 16% on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats
The Cowboys defense allowed 14 broken tackles in Week 5 — most in NFL.
The Cowboys defense has allowed 7.5 TDs per interception (45 TDs allowed, and 6 INT) since the 2025 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 2.2.
The Cowboys defense has allowed successful plays on 65% of plays first read passes this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Cowboys defense has allowed a passer rating of 128.8 on motion plays (91 Pass Attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 96.1.
Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats
The Packers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 55.2 first read passes (61 Pass Attempts) this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 101.3.
The Packers defense have allowed -0.28 epa per play on passing attempts on Early Downs this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.04.
The Packers defense has allowed successful plays on 43% of pass attempts first read passes this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Packers defense has allowed 8 rushing TDs in the red zone this season — T-most in NFL.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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