How Often Do College Football Games Go Under the Total?

The under is rarely a popular ticket in football betting. That’s especially the case in college football, where offense comes quickly and totals can routinely reach into the 70s. 

But that lack of popularity is exactly why I like to look out for under betting opportunities. The market preference for the over creates a nominal amount of value on the other side of the market.

Just don’t get carried away in imagining what kind of natural edge might exist for under bettors. 

How Often Do College Football Games Go Under the Total?

Since 2005, college football games have gone “over” 50.7% of the time.

Since 2018, when the U.S. Supreme Court overturned PASPA, unders have hit at a slightly worse rate of 50.6%.

Last year, during the 2025 regular season, unders cashed at a 51.2% clip. That’s one of the best rates of the last 20 years.

Before you run out to blind-bet every under, just remember: It’s still not good enough to make a profit. As experienced bettors can tell you, 52.4% is the breakeven mark on -110 bets. 

Still, unders do get home slightly more frequently than how often college football games go over the total. That’s one key reason why many experienced totals bettors prefer to hunt for under bets.

You can improve that win rate by targeting specific conferences where unders are successful. Since 2018, the Mountain West has been the best conference for betting the under.