MLB Picks Today: Predictions for Prop Bets, Moneylines, Over/Under Totals, & Run Lines

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Oakland Athletics starting pitcher Ross Stripling delivers during the first inning of a baseball game against the Cleveland Guardians, Sunday, April 21, 2024, in Cleveland.
(AP Photo/Nick Cammett)
Shane Jackson @Sjacksonmgm Apr 26, 2024, 9:58 AM
  • Friday’s slate will feature 14 MLB games.
  • The Royals face the Tigers in a matinee matchup.
  • Ross Stripling has a strikeout prop of 3.5 against Baltimore.

Here are MLB betting picks and predictions based on MLB odds for Friday’s schedule.

The slate features 14 games, starting with a matchup between two surprising teams in the AL Central, with the Kansas City Royals traveling to face the Detroit Tigers at 1:10 p.m. ET.

MLB Picks Today: Friday, April 26

Athletics vs. Orioles – 7:05 p.m. ET

Pick: Ross Stripling over 3.5 strikeouts (-135)

This is a low strikeout prop for a pitcher who gets to face the back end of Baltimore’s lineup on Friday.

Oakland Athletics right-hander Ross Stripling has cleared 3.5 whiffs in each of his last three outings and four of his five starts this season. He has 22 strikeouts in 28 2/3 innings.

THE BAT X projects 4.06 strikeouts for Stripling against the Orioles. That means a fair price on this over should be closer to -200, and is playable at anything -150 or better ahead of Friday’s series opener.

Baltimore ranks 22nd in the league with a strikeout rate of 20.9%, but that rate has jumped to 22.2% (15th in MLB) since rookie Jackson Holliday was called up to the big leagues.

Holliday has 18 strikeouts through his first 36 plate appearances, recording multiple whiffs in three of his last five games. Stripling could get halfway to this over in just two meetings against Holliday alone.

Since opening, the price on this over has moved from -125 to -135, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see it continue to climb ahead of the game’s first pitch.

MLB Moneyline Records for 2024

TeamRecordROI
Guardians18-738.2%
Brewers16-833.9%
Cubs16-925.4%
Royals16-1019.9%
Yankees17-918.8%
Orioles16-817.2%
Braves17-617.0%
Mets13-1115.7%
Nationals10-1412.4%
Tigers14-1111.5%
Reds14-115.0%
Red Sox14-124.3%
Pirates13-133.6%
Phillies16-100.8%
Rangers13-130.2%
Padres14-14-1.5%
Blue Jays13-13-3.5%
Athletics10-16-3.7%
Mariners13-12-5.1%
Rays13-13-7.5%
Dodgers16-11-9.6%
Cardinals11-14-11.1%
Giants12-14-13.0%
Angels10-15-14.6%
Diamondbacks12-14-16.4%
Twins11-13-17.1%
Rockies7-19-31.7%
Marlins6-20-43.4%
Astros7-19-50.9%
White Sox3-22-66.0%

MLB Run Line (ATS) Records for 2024

TeamATS RecordATS Win Pct.
Guardians18-7.720
Cubs17-8.680
Orioles14-10.583
Nationals14-10.583
Royals15-11.577
Pirates15-11.577
Cardinals14-11.560
Brewers13-11.542
Mets13-11.542
Red Sox14-12.539
Blue Jays14-12.539
Braves12-11.522
Reds13-12.520
Angels13-12.520
Diamondbacks13-13.500
Athletics13-13.500
Padres14-14.500
Rangers13-13.500
Rockies12-14.462
Yankees12-14.462
Phillies12-14.462
Giants12-14.462
Dodgers12-15.444
Tigers11-14.440
Mariners11-14.440
Twins10-14.417
Rays10-16.385
White Sox9-16.360
Astros9-17.346
Marlins9-17.346

MLB Over/Under Records for 2024

TeamOver RecordOver Pct.Under Pct.
Orioles15-7-2.682.318
Guardians15-8-2.652.348
Dodgers16-10-1.615.385
Reds14-10-1.583.417
Brewers14-10-0.583.417
Rays15-11-0.577.423
Giants14-11-1.560.440
Braves12-10-1.546.455
Mets13-11-0.542.458
Angels13-12-0.520.480
Padres14-13-1.519.482
Rockies13-13-0.500.500
Marlins13-13-0.500.500
Pirates13-13-0.500.500
Diamondbacks12-13-1.480.520
Athletics12-13-1.480.520
Tigers11-12-2.478.522
Twins11-12-1.478.522
Rangers12-14-0.462.539
Red Sox11-13-2.458.542
White Sox11-13-1.458.542
Cubs11-14-0.440.560
Phillies10-15-1.400.600
Nationals9-14-1.391.609
Blue Jays10-16-0.385.615
Yankees9-16-1.360.640
Cardinals8-15-2.348.652
Astros8-16-2.333.667
Royals8-17-1.320.680
Mariners7-17-1.292.708

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.