- The Dodgers are -190 favorites vs the Padres
- Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish (1-0), 1.28 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw
- Watch the game on Fox Sports 1
The San Diego Padres (+155) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-190) on Wednesday, October 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:37pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Padres vs Dodgers Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Padres are 91-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 98-65 ATS.
Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | +1.5 -135 | O 7 -105 | +155 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +110 | U 7 -115 | -190 |
Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 58.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Juan Soto has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+16.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 63 away games (+14.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Mike Clevinger has hit the Strikeouts Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.10 Units / 48% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 26 away games (+11.55 Units / 37% ROI)
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+12.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+11.35 Units / 53% ROI)
- Julio Urias has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Tony Gonsolin has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Austin Barnes has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 27 games (+9.15 Units / 34% ROI)
Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Gavin Lux | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Justin Turner | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Gavin Lux | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Justin Turner | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -115 |
Dodgers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Gavin Lux | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Justin Turner | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Clayton Kershaw | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 -105 |
| Yu Darvish | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 73 of their last 141 games (+11.00 Units / 7% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 38 away games (+7.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 away games (+6.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 away games (+6.00 Units / 19% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 160 games (+28.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 90 games (+18.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 25 of their last 36 games at home (+17.35 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+6.10 Units / 13% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 75-91 against the Run Line (-22.45 Units / -10.82% ROI).
- 91-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.5 Units / -5.03% ROI
- 78-83 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.7 Units / -6.96% ROI
- 83-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.6 Units / -1.42% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 98-65 against the Run Line (+27.25 Units / 13.76% ROI).
- 112-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.95 Units / 2.07% ROI
- 68-84 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.65 Units / -13.74% ROI
- 84-68 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.95 Units / 4.99% ROI
Yu Darvish: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .157 (69-for-439) against Yu Darvish’s fastball since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 100th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has a strike rate of 71% (659/934) in two strike counts this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .094 (16-for-170) against Yu Darvish’s elevated fastball since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .221 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (12/100) against Yu Darvish on inside fastballs since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 64% of the time (448/706) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total SL; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 39% (121/312) against Clayton Kershaw when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has thrown breaking pitches 64% of the time (450/706) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has allowed an OPS of just .749 (174 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 1.055 — 100th Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres are 74-25 (.747) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Padres are 22-2 (.917) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Padres are 32-9 (.780) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Padres are 46-37 (.554) on the road this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 25-89 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.
The Dodgers are 56-24 (.700) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Dodgers are 54-27 (.667) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Dodgers are 100-20 (.833) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have drawn 420 walks in 4,417 PA’s (10%) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Padres hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .764 (3,757 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .693.
The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 67% since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .812 (2,136 PA’s) in the first 3 innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .709.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Padres pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Padres pitchers have walked 11 of 71 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (8 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Padres pitchers over the last 14 days (16 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .191 against Padres pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .221.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.80 (1435.1 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 43% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Dodgers have allowed 3.26 runs per game (528/162) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.
Dodgers vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Amaya (Dodgers): Undisclosed, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Phillip Bickford (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
- Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
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