Chargers vs Titans Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 9

BetMGM Betting Oct 28, 2025, 9:21 PM

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A stadium view of Tennessee Titans' Nissan Field as fans begin to arrive before an NFL football game against the ,Jacksonville Jaguars Sunday, Dec. 11, 2022, in Nashville, Tenn. (AP Photo/Peter Joneleit)

(AP Photo/Peter Joneleit)

The Chargers are -9.5 point favorites vs the Titans
Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
Watch this game on CBS

The Los Angeles Chargers (5-3-0) visit Nissan Stadium to take on the Tennessee Titans (1-7-0) on Nov. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Nashville, TN.

The Chargers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Chargers vs. Titans Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.

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Chargers vs. Titans Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Chargers	-9.5 -110	43.5 -110	-550
Titans	+9.5 -110	43.5 -110	400

Chargers vs. Titans Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Chargers will win this game with 79.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Chargers vs Titans Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chargers will cover the spread with 52.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chargers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Chargers Player Prop Bets Today

Will Dissly has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.20 Units / 35% ROI)
Justin Herbert has hit the Carries Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+5.15 Units / 45% ROI)
Ladd McConkey has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.05 Units / 24% ROI)
Quentin Johnston has hit the Longest Reception Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)
Will Dissly has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.70 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Titans players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Titans Player Prop Best Bets Today

Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 32% ROI)
Cameron Ward has hit the Interceptions Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 72% ROI)
Joey Slye has hit the Field Goals Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.85 Units / 82% ROI)
Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+5.60 Units / 30% ROI)
Gunnar Helm has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 60% ROI)

Chargers Best Bets:

The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.15 Units / 45% ROI)
The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.73 Units / 44% ROI)
The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+3.95 Units / 30% ROI)
The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+3.19 Units / 27% ROI)
The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.75 Units / 28% ROI)

Titans Best Bets:

The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.35 Units / 27% ROI)
The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.65 Units / 20% ROI)
The Tennessee Titans have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.20 Units / 18% ROI)
The Tennessee Titans have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.45 Units / 17% ROI)
The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 18 games (+2.74 Units / 14% ROI)

Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers are 4-4 (-0.4 Units / -4.49% ROI).

Chargers are 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -2.91% ROI
Chargers are 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
Chargers are 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / ROI

Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans are 2-6 (-4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI).

Titans are 1-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -45% ROI
Titans are 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
Titans are 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans

The Titans are averaging 11.0 drives per TD this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.

The Titans have averaged -0.29 epa per play on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.03.

The Titans have run the ball on 34% of plays (160 carries/472 plays) this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Titans have run none of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 13%.

Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers

The Chargers have gone three and out on 3% of their drives since Week 5 — best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Chargers converted late downs on 2 of 10 plays (20%) with 7-10 yards to go in Week 8 — best in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

The Chargers have a third down conversion rate of 53% in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 37%.

The Chargers have a third down conversion rate of 49% this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Chargers vs. Tennessee Titans