Below, bettors can find NFL odds for the Detroit Lions’ 2026 win total and my Lions win total prediction.
Lions Win Total Odds 2026
The Lions’ season win total is set at 10.5 games for the upcoming season.
Current odds price over 10.5 wins at +105 while under 10.5 wins is priced at -125.
Here are the 2026 NFL win totals for all NFC North teams:
- Detroit Lions: 10.5 Wins
- Green Bay Packers: 9.5 Wins
- Chicago Bears: 9.5 Wins
- Minnesota Vikings: 8.5 Wins
Lions Win Total Prediction 2026
Detroit Lions Over 10.5 Wins (-130)
Based on current implied probability, the Lions are predicted to finish over 10.5 wins with 56.5% confidence. Given Detroit’s cumulative offensive strength over the last two years and easy schedule in 2026, I predict Detroit finishes Over 10.5 Wins (-130).
Over 10.5 @ +105 Under 10.5 @ -125The Lions face the NFL’s easiest schedule in 2026 by opponent win totals.
Non-divisional games come against the NFC South and AFC East with unique games against the Giants, Titans and Cardinals. It’s likely Detroit closes an underdog – at most – twice next year.
Detroit finished 9-8 last year, a full win under expectation by point differential. The main cause? A 3-5 record in one-possession games for Dan Campbell’s squad.
Losing Ben Johnson saw a decline in last year’s offensive production. The Lions offense went from third in 2024 offensive DVOA (+19.9%) to seventh in 2025 (+11.8), per FTN Fantasy.
Drew Petzing arrives to take over as OC in 2026. I’m not sure enough is being made of that addition early in the offseason.
Petzing coordinated the Cardinals’ offense for the last three seasons. In both ‘23 and ‘24, Arizona ranked ninth in rush offense DVOA. Now, he gets a superior running back room.
Detroit dropped from second to 10th in rush offense DVOA annually. However, contract restructures could open up spending power to address the offensive line.
Defensively, I carry optimism about this unit. The team faced the ninth-hardest set of offenses last year while losing defenders left and right to injury.
Although it’s slightly concerning that it happened two years in a row, the 2026 opponent set isn’t intimidating.
By 2025 offensive DVOA ratings, Detroit projects to face the league’s 26th-hardest set of offenses.
Ultimately, I trust the offense to get back on track and lead this team to 11 wins or more. Based on the schedule, I wouldn’t be surprised to see this team hit 14-15.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
