- The Commanders are -4 point favorites vs the Eagles
- Total (Over/Under): 40 points
- Watch this game on NBC | PEAC
The Philadelphia Eagles (2-5-0) visit Northwest Stadium to take on the Washington Commanders (1-4-1) on Nov. 1. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 pm in Landover, MD.
The Commanders are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -4 (-135).
The Eagles vs. Commanders Over/Under is 40 total points for the game.
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Eagles vs. Commanders Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Eagles | +4 +100 | 40 -110 | +195 |
| Commanders | -4 -135 | 40 -108 | -235 |
Eagles vs. Commanders Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Commanders will win this game with 56.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Eagles vs Commanders Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Commanders will cover the spread with 53.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Eagles players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Eagles Player Prop Bets Today
- Saquon Barkley has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jake Elliott has hit the Field Goals Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Saquon Barkley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Makai Lemon has hit the Longest Reception Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Dallas Goedert has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 14 games (+3.70 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Commanders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Commanders Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Stefon Diggs has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.85 Units / 69% ROI)
- Stefon Diggs has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+6.45 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jeremy McNichols has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Longest Reception Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+4.10 Units / 39% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Commanders vs Eagles
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Rachaad White | +500 |
| Saquon Barkley | +600 |
| Elijah Mitchell | +775 |
| Stefon Diggs | +1000 |
| Jayden Daniels | +1050 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Commanders vs Eagles
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Rachaad White | +115 |
| Saquon Barkley | +115 |
| DeVonta Smith | +225 |
| Stefon Diggs | +230 |
| Jayden Daniels | +230 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Commanders vs Eagles
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels | 35.5 -120 | 35.5 -111 |
Eagles Best Bets:
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+7.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+5.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.25 Units / 19% ROI)
Commanders Best Bets:
- The Washington Commanders have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+1.75 Units / 18% ROI)
Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles are 1-6 (-5.6 Units / -72.73% ROI).
- Eagles are 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.85 Units / -32.91% ROI
- Eagles are 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 23.38% ROI
- EaglesEaglesEagles are 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -31.17% ROI
Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders are 3-3 (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Commanders are 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -11.76% ROI
- Commanders are 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Commanders are 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders
The Eagles are 7-1 (.875) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent since the 2025 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Commanders has allowed an average time of possession of 31 min and 17 s since the 2025 season — 5th-highest in NFL.
The Eagles are winless (0-3) when allowing 27 or more points since the 2025 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .195.
The Eagles are 2-7 (.222) after a loss since the 2025 season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.
The Eagles are 5-1 (.833) vs bottom 10 pass offenses since the 2025 season They play the Commanders in Week 8 (Ranks 26th in passing offense).
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles
The Commanders are winless (0-7-1) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .411.
The Commanders are winless (0-3) on the road this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .490.
The Commanders are winless (0-5) after a win since the 2025 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .554.
The Commanders are winless (0-8) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2025 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .331.
Additional Matchup Notes for Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Commanders
Commanders TEs have just 40.8 receiving yards per game since the 2025 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Eagles have allowed an average ofjust 33.7 receiving yards per game to TEs since the 2025 season — best in NFL.
The Commanders have a third down conversion rate of 48.0% in the fourth quarter this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Eagles defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 48.3% in the 4th quarter this season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
The Commanders have been successful on just 31.7% of pass attempts with motion since Week 4 — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Eagles have allowed a success rate of just 33.3% on pass attempts against motion since Week 4 — 2nd-best in NFL.
Eagles RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on just 6.1% of 131 carries this season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Commanders have allowed 10+ yards on just 5.8% of carries to RBs this season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Eagles have been successful on just 28.6% of pass attempts on play action passes since Week 4 — 4th-worst in NFL. The Commanders have allowed a success rate of just 30.4% on pass attempts on play action passes since Week 4 — best in NFL.
The Eagles have gone three and out on 31.6% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — worst in NFL. The Commanders have forced three and outs on 25% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — T-2nd-best in NFL.
Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats
The Eagles have run 34% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
The Eagles have gone three and out 12 times in the 3rd quarter this season — most in NFL.
The Eagles have run successful plays on 20% of plays in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Eagles have run successful plays on 29% of plays in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
Washington Commanders Offense: Important Stats
The Commanders have a third down conversion rate of 23% since Week 4 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Commanders have 6 TDs that were 20+ yards this season — T-2nd-most in NFL.
The Commanders have converted first downs on just 9 of 39 plays (23%) on 3rd down since Week 4 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Commanders have targeted TEs 4% of the time (1 Pass Attempts/25 plays) in the red zone this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 27%.
Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats
54% of the plays ran against the Eagles were in the red zone in the 2nd half in Week 7 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Eagles defense has allowed successful plays on 17% of pass attempts with a stacked front since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Eagles defense has allowed a passer rating of just 0.0 with a stacked front (7 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 111.8.
The Eagles defense allowed scores on 78% of opponent drives (7/9) in Week 7 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
Washington Commanders Defense: Important Stats
The Commanders defense has allowed successful plays on 56% of plays in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Commanders defense has allowed successful plays on 57% of rush attempts since Week 4 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Commanders defense has allowed successful plays on 62% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Commanders defense have allowed 10.4 yards per play open coverage since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 9.2.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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