- Saquon Barkley (+250) is predicted to lead the NFL in rushing yards.
- Three of the last five winners in this market amassed at least 1,800 yards.
- I predict Bijan Robinson (+1100) leads the NFL in rushing yards.
Below, bettors can find NFL odds for running backs to lead the NFL in rushing yards.
Oddsmakers price two players as heavy favorites to claim the honor. First is Saquon Barkley (), who led the league in yards last season.
Next is Ravens back Derrick Henry. Currently, Henry has +550 odds to claim a third rushing yards crown.
After Barkley and Henry, three players are listed between +750 and +1100: Christian McCaffrey, Jonathan Taylor and Bijan Robinson.
Who is Predicted to Lead the NFL in Rushing Yards?
NFL Rushing Yards Leader: Predictions
Bijan Robinson (+1100) to lead the NFL in Rushing Yards
While bettors are primarily trusting a running back for this market, they also need to place trust in an offensive line.
Three of the last four leaders played behind a line ranking ninth or better in PFF’s run-blocking rankings. Two of those three leaders (Barkley, Christian McCaffrey) played behind a line sixth or better.
To me, Robinson’s price receives inflation due to the strength in the passing game. However, the Atlanta line performed markedly better in run blocking than in pass blocking.
Atlanta led the league in PFF’s run-blocking grades last year. Meanwhile, they ranked ninth in pass-blocking.
That helped Robinson amass over 1,450 rushing yards in 2024. That proved enough for the third-most yards in the league.
Robinson also proved an advanced metrics darling last year. Per PFF, Robinson led the NFL in positive play-level run grades last year. At 181, he picked up 11 more than Derrick Henry.
One last factor I’m considering for this handicap: the usage of Michael Penix Jr.
If I’m right, Atlanta will hand Robinson a heavier workload to take pressure off Penix.
Last year, Robinson attempted 22 or more carries five times. Three of those came in Penix’s starts.
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The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
