Within World Cup odds, draw no bet offers a slight variation of the soccer moneyline.
In soccer betting, bettors face three choices for the moneyline: Team A win, Team B win and a draw. If the match finishes level, bettors who placed a wager on the draw moneyline win.
Draw no bet takes the draw out of the equation. If the match finishes level, bettors see their stake refunded rather than losing their bet on the three-way moneyline.
The trade-off for draw protection is an inferior price for bettors.
Odds-on favorites for the three-way moneyline become a bigger favorite on draw no bet.
Take the United States’ opening World Cup match against Paraguay. Odds price the USMNT as a -102 favorite on the three-way moneyline compared to a -250 favorite on the draw, no bet line.
Matches priced as a coin flip outcome, like Czechia vs. Korea Republic, see relatively close draw, no bet lines.
Korea Republic, as of this writing, is a +165 favorite on the three-way moneyline. Meanwhile, they’re -125 on the draw, no bet line compared to -115 for Czechia.
How Often Do World Cup Matches Finish in a Tie?
Dating back to the 2002 World Cup, the frequency of matches that finish tied hovers around 20% of all fixtures.
All these percentages are reflective of a 32-team World Cup. With the expansion to 48 teams for the 2026 edition, it’s unknown how these percentages will change.
That said, the 2022 World Cup saw 23% of 64 matches finish level. It marked a 3% increase from the 2018 and 2014 World Cups (20%).
The 2010 World Cup in South Africa saw an increased share of draws. Twenty-five percent of the 64 matches finished in a draw at the end of 90 minutes plus injury time.
It matched the draw rate of the 2002 World Cup (25%) and marked a 2% increase from the 2006 World Cup.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
