2 Best Anytime TD Scorer Predictions for Week 4

Below, bettors can find my Week 4 anytime TD scorer predictions based on NFL odds.

Sunday’s slate features the usual suspects owning lofty anytime touchdown prices. Odds price Jahmyr Gibbs, Chase Brown, Jonathan Taylor and Derrick Henry at -150 or higher to score.

With running backs all priced north of 50% implied probability, I’m turning my attention to a receiver and tight end.

Let’s dive into the predictions. Odds are reflective at time of writing and are subject to movement.

2 Best Anytime TD Scorer Predictions for Week 4

Tetairoa McMillan Anytime Touchdown (+125) vs Detroit Lions

If the Panthers stand a chance as home underdogs against Detroit, it likely comes down to the offense keeping pace.

Carolina placed both Jaycee Horn and Mike Jackson on injured reserve this week. It leaves the defense extremely vulnerable against a powerful Lions offense.

However, McMillan should enjoy success against the Lions secondary.

Detroit has surrendered at least one passing touchdown in every game. As a favorite, both underdogs have scored 24 or more points.

McMillan leads the Panthers in targets through three games. At 23, he owns a one-target advantage over fellow receiver Jalen Coker.

Last year’s first-round pick failed to score a touchdown, though. He qualifies as the only Panthers pass catcher to receive at least 10 targets and fail to score a touchdown.

Maybe it’s a coincidence, but the same trend happened last year. McMillan first scored in Week 6, despite registering at least eight targets in his first five games.

Additionally, McMillan and Coker have received equal amounts of targets (5) in the red zone this season. Darren Waller, who has two touchdowns, received only two targets.

This leads me to predict McMillan scores against a vulnerable secondary.

Travis Kelce Anytime Touchdown (+150) vs Las Vegas Raiders

As outlined in my NFL Week 4 Picks, I predict the Chiefs offense imposes their will on the Raiders defense.

Against the Saints, Las Vegas consistently allowed the offense to move the ball… when they weren’t turning it over.

After posting a 36% defensive success rate against the Dolphins and Chargers, the Raiders defense regressed to a 57% rate against the Saints.

It includes a 61% dropback success rate against Tyler Shough, who threw four touchdown passes.

Kelce scored a touchdown in two straight games. His only shortcoming came against a strong Broncos pass defense.

Kansas City’s red zone tendencies offer similar pass-run splits. From inside the opponent’s 20-yard line, Patrick Mahomes attempted 21 passes to Kenneth Walker III’s 15 runs.

While only two of those targets went to Kelce, the matchup offers strong optimism. This year, Las Vegas allowed five passing touchdowns, all of which went to opposing tight ends.

It leads me to predict Kelce continues his touchdown streak on Sunday in Las Vegas.