Chargers vs Ravens Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 10

• The Ravens are -2.5 point favorites vs the Chargers
• Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points
• Watch this game on ESPN | ESPD

The Los Angeles Chargers (0-8-0) visit M&T Bank Stadium to take on the Baltimore Ravens (4-5-0) on Nov. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 pm in Baltimore, MD.

The Ravens are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-190).

The Chargers vs. Ravens Over/Under is 38.5 total points for the game.

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Chargers vs. Ravens Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Chargers vs. Ravens Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this game with 56.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Chargers vs Ravens Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Ravens will cover the spread with 52.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chargers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Chargers Player Prop Bets Today

• Justin Herbert has hit the Interceptions Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.60 Units / 63% ROI)
• Justin Herbert has hit the TD Passes Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.25 Units / 40% ROI)
• Ladd McConkey has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.95 Units / 56% ROI)
• Quentin Johnston has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 39% ROI)
• Ladd McConkey has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Ravens Player Prop Best Bets Today

• Mark Andrews has hit the Longest Reception Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
• Lamar Jackson has hit the Completions Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 56% ROI)
• Mark Andrews has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 32% ROI)
• Rashod Bateman has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+5.80 Units / 34% ROI)
• Lamar Jackson has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 39% ROI)

Chargers Best Bets:

• The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.95 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.50 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.00 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.80 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.00 Units / 34% ROI)

Ravens Best Bets:

• The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.95 Units / 68% ROI)
• The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.85 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.55 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.50 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+2.80 Units / 12% ROI)

Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers are 0-7 (-7.75 Units / -87.57% ROI).

• Chargers are 0-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.7 Units / -100% ROI
• Chargers are 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
• ChargersChargersChargers are 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI

Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens are 2-7 (-5.65 Units / -56.78% ROI).

• Ravens are 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -21% ROI
• Ravens are 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
• Ravens are 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens

Chargers are 4-13 (.235) when allowing 10 or more rushes of 4+ yards (8th-worst in NFL) and .875 when allowing 1ess than 10 plays of 4+ yards rushing since the 2025 season (T-6th-best in NFL).

The Chargers are 5-2 (.714) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2025 season — T-6th-best in NFL. The Ravens have allowed 241.6 passing yards per game since the 2025 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Chargers are winless (0-3) on the road this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .484.

The Chargers are winless (0-7) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .388.

Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers

The Ravens are 2-10 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2025 season — 8th-worst in NFL. The Chargers have intercepted 26 passes since the 2025 season — T-4th-most in NFL.

Ravens are 4-9 (.308) at home (5th-worst in NFL) and .636 on the road since the 2025 season (T-7th-best in NFL).

Ravens are 1-3 (.250) at home (T-8th-worst in NFL) and .667 on the road this season (T-6th-best in NFL).

Ravens are 7-4 (.636) on the road (T-7th-best in NFL) and just .308 at home since the 2025 season (5th-worst in NFL).

Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Chargers vs. Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens have thrown for 5,120 passing yards in 26 games (just 196.9 YPG) since the 2025 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Chargers have allowed just 193.1 passing yards per game since the 2025 season — 5th-best in NFL.

The Ravens have averaged just -0.90 epa per play against tight coverage since Week 6 — 5th-worst in NFL. The Chargers have allowed just -1.68 epa per play with tight coverage since Week 6 — best in NFL.

The Ravens are 2-10 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2025 season — 8th-worst in NFL. The Chargers have intercepted 26 passes since the 2025 season — T-4th-most in NFL.

The Chargers are 5-2 (.714) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2025 season — T-6th-best in NFL. The Ravens have allowed 241.6 passing yards per game since the 2025 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Chargers are averaging just 3.2 yards per carry on rushes up the middle since the 2025 season — T-2nd-worst in NFL. The Ravens have allowed just 3.6 yards per carry when defending rushes up the middle since the 2025 season — T-4th-best in NFL.

The Chargers are averaging just 3.4 yards per carry since Week 6 — 5th-worst in NFL. The Ravens have allowed just 3.4 yards per carry since Week 6 — 5th-best in NFL.

Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats

The Chargers have averaged -0.23 epa per play on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.01.

The Chargers have run successful plays on 29% of plays in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Chargers have averaged 14.9 yards per play on contested throws since Week 6 — best in NFL; League Avg: 4.7.

The Chargers have run successful plays on 26% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats

The Ravens ran 13% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in Week 9 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Ravens have rushed for 20+ yards 33 times since the 2025 season — most in NFL.

The Ravens have run successful plays on 23% of pass attempts in the 2nd half since Week 6 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Ravens have run successful plays on 58% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats

The Chargers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 14.1 on contested throws (69 Pass Attempts) since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 67.2.

The Chargers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 14.6 when blitzing (11 Pass Attempts) since Week 6 — best in NFL; League Avg: 91.5.

The Chargers defense have allowed -1.68 epa per play with tight coverage since Week 6 — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.55.

The Chargers defense allowed 5 TD passes in Week 9 — most in NFL.

Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats

The Ravens defense has allowed scores on 62% of opponent drives (18/29) in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 37%.

The Ravens defense has allowed scores on 57% of opponent drives (28/49) in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The Ravens defense have allowed just 3.5 yards per play on contested throws this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 5.2.

The Ravens defense has allowed a passer rating of just 49.6 with a stacked front (17 Pass Attempts) this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 111.2.

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More NFL Betting Predictions:

• Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
• Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
• Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
• Passing Yards Prop Predictions
• Receptions Made Prop Predictions
• Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
• Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
• QB Interception Prop Predictions
• Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
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