Steelers vs Bengals Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 10

• The Bengals are -4 point favorites vs the Steelers
• Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
• Watch this game on NBC | PEAC

The Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2-0) visit Paycor Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bengals (6-2-0) on Nov. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 pm in Cincinnati, OH.

The Bengals are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -4 (-108).

The Steelers vs. Bengals Over/Under is 48.5 total points for the game.

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Steelers vs. Bengals Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Steelers vs. Bengals Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Bengals will win this game with 53.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Steelers vs Bengals Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bengals will cover the spread with 52.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Steelers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Steelers Player Prop Bets Today

• DK Metcalf has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 50% ROI)
• Jaylen Warren has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.25 Units / 56% ROI)
• Marquez Valdes-Scantling has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.20 Units / 75% ROI)
• Germie Bernard has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.05 Units / 82% ROI)
• Rico Dowdle has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 61% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bengals players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Bengals Player Prop Best Bets Today

• Tanner Hudson has hit the Receptions Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 65% ROI)
• Tee Higgins has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.50 Units / 35% ROI)
• Joe Burrow has hit the TD Passes Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 26% ROI)
• Samaje Perine has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+4.65 Units / 24% ROI)
• Joe Burrow has hit the Interceptions Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+4.55 Units / 70% ROI)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bengals vs Steelers

Steelers Best Bets:

• The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.20 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+7.20 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.05 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.95 Units / 62% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.35 Units / 24% ROI)

Bengals Best Bets:

• The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.85 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.55 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.25 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.95 Units / 59% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.80 Units / 49% ROI)

Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers are 6-2 (+3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI).

• Steelers are 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 30.15% ROI
• Steelers are 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
• SteelersSteelersSteelers are 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals are 4-3 (+0.7 Units / 8.09% ROI).

• Bengals are 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 14.09% ROI
• Bengals are 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
• Bengals are 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals

Steelers are 1-2 (.333) on the road (T-8th-worst in NFL) and 1.000 at home this season (T-best in NFL).

Steelers are 4-0 (1.000) at home (T-best in NFL) and just .333 on the road this season (T-8th-worst in NFL).

The Steelers are undefeated (4-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .553.

The Steelers are undefeated (4-0) at home this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .508.

Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers

The Bengals are 3-1 (.750) after a win this season — T-4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .505.

The Bengals are 5-1 (.833) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — T-5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .606.

The Bengals are undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 100 rushing yards since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .685.

The Bengals are 4-2 (.667) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game this season — T-7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .573.

Additional Matchup Notes for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals have averaged just -0.10 epa per play on play action passes since the 2025 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Steelers have allowed just -0.12 epa per play on play action passes since the 2025 season — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Bengals have been successful on 60.3% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field this season — best in NFL. The Steelers have allowed a success rate of 51.7% on pass attempts on their own side of the field this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Bengals have been successful on 75.0% of pass attempts on play action passes since Week 6 — T-best in NFL. The Steelers have allowed a success rate of 77.8% on pass attempts on play action passes since Week 6 — worst in NFL.

The Steelers have a third down conversion rate of 34.6% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Bengals defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 28.1% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Steelers have a third down conversion rate of 28.4% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2025 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Bengals defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 29.1% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2025 season — worst in NFL.

The Steelers have thrown the ball 56.2% of the time since the 2025 season — 5th-highest in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 7.2 yards per dropback since the 2025 season — T-5th-worst in NFL.

Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats

The Steelers have run successful plays on 69% of rush attempts against a light front since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Steelers have converted late downs on just 28 of 395 plays (7%) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2025 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

The Steelers have a third down conversion rate of 60% on third and 10+ yards to go since Week 6 — best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.

The Steelers have run 26% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 3rd quarter this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats

The Bengals have a third down conversion rate of 54% this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Bengals have converted first downs on 52 of 97 plays (54%) on 3rd down this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Bengals have a third down conversion rate of 57% against a base front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Bengals have thrown the ball 61% of the time (936 Pass Attempts/1,545 plays) since the 2025 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats

The Steelers defense has allowed just 0.1 TDs per game (1/8) in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 1.3.

The Steelers defense has allowed successful plays on 34% of plays in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Steelers defense have allowed 17.2 yards per play against play action passes since Week 6 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.0.

The Steelers’ opponents have averaged 40.0 Passing Attempts per TD (280 Pass Attempts/7 Passing TDs) this season — 2nd-best Pass Attempts Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 21.7.

Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats

The Bengals defense have missed 214 tackles since the 2025 season — most in NFL.

The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 59% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

Offenses facing the Bengals targeted WRs 47% of the time (383 Pass Attempts/807 plays) since the 2025 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 55%.

Offenses facing the Bengals targeted RBs 32% of the time (10 Pass Attempts/31 plays) in Week 9 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

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More NFL Betting Predictions:

• Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
• Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
• Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
• Passing Yards Prop Predictions
• Receptions Made Prop Predictions
• Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
• Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
• QB Interception Prop Predictions
• Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
• NFL Betting Previews: Every Game

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