NFL Betting: Each Head Coach’s Record Against the Spread

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Pittsburgh Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin looks from the sideline during the second half of a preseason NFL football game against the Atlanta Falcons, Thursday, Aug. 24, 2023, in Atlanta.
(Hakim Wright/AP Photo)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Jan 08, 2024, 4:38 PM
  • Two AFC head coaches who dominate as an underdog.
  • Kyle Shanahan’s drastic difference as a favorite vs. an underdog.
  • Read on to get favorite and underdog records for all 32 NFL head coaches.

When evaluating NFL odds, bettors should remember head coaches perform differently when they’re a favorite vs. an underdog.

This can equip bettors with an advantage and allow them to take advantage of certain spreads.  

Here, I’ll break down each head coach’s record as a favorite and an underdog. All data comes courtesy of Bet Labs. 

NFL Head Coaches Records Against the Spread (ATS)

Records reflective as of January 8, 2024. 

AFC Head Coaches

 

CoachATS Record FavoriteUnderdog
John Harbaugh132-119-8 (52.5%)86-88-5 (49.4%)46-31-3 (59.4%)
Sean McDermott59-49-6 (54.4%) 37-31-4 (54.2%)22-18-2 (55%)
Zac Taylor44-37-1 (54.3%)20-17-1 (53.9%)24-20-0 (54.5%)
Kevin Stefanski30-34-3 (47%)16-21-1 (43.4%)14-14-1 (50%)
Sean Payton139-116-3 (54.5%)89-82-1 (52%)50-34-2 (59.3%)
DeMeco Ryans9-8-0 (52.9%)3-4-0 (42.9%)6-4-0 (60%)
Shane Steichen9-8-0 (52.9%)6-2-0 (75%)3-6-0 (33.3%)
Doug Pederson55-59-0 (48.2%)30-33-0 (47.6%)25-26-0 (49%)
Andy Reid 175-157-7 (52.7%)126-121-5 (51%)49-36-2 (57.5%)
Antonio Pierce (LV Interim)7-1-1 (83.3%)4-0-0 (100%)3-1-1 (70%)
Chris Tabor (LAC Interim)1-2-0 (33.3%)0-1-0 (0%)1-1-0 (50%)
Mike McDaniel18-16-0 (52.9%)13-8-0 (61.9%)5-8-0 (38.5%)
Bill Belichick188-138-11 (57.5%)152-108-8 (58.2%)36-30-3 (54.3%)
Robert Saleh21-29-1 (42.2%)3-4-1 (43.8%)18-25-0 (41.9%)
Mike Tomlin143-127-5 (53%)86-96-2 (47.3%)57-31-3 (64.3%)
Mike Vrabel50-47-2 (51.5%)20-25-1 (44.6%)30-22-1 (57.5%)

NFC Head Coaches

CoachATS RecordFavoriteUnderdog
Arthur Smith21-29-1 (42.2%)9-13-0 (40.9%)12-16-1 (43.1%)
Jonathan Gannon9-8-0 (52.9%)0-0-0 (0%)9-8-0 (52.9%)
Chris Tabor (CAR Interim)3-3-0 (50%)0-0-0 (0%)3-3-0 (50%)
Matt Eberflus14-19-1 (42.6%)2-4-0 (33.3%)12-15-1 (44.6%)
Mike McCarthy 150-115-6 (56.6%)110-74-4 (59.7%)40-42-2 (48.8%)
Dan Campbell38-24-1 (61.1%)13-8-1 (61.4%)25-16-0 (61%)
Matt LaFleur48-35-0 (57.8%)29-27-0 (51.8%)19-8-0 (70.4%)
Sean McVay60-51-4 (53.9%)42-37-2 (53.1%)18-14-2 (55.9%)
Kevin O'Connell16-16-2 (50%)9-9-2 (50%)7-7-0 (50%)
Dennis Allen28-40-2 (41.4%)7-15-1 (32.6%)21-25-1 (45.7%)
Brian Daboll21-12-1 (63.2%)3-3-0 (50%)18-9-1 (66.1%)
Nick Sirianni 22-26-2 (46%)18-18-2 (50%)4-8-0 (33.3%)
Kyle Shanahan60-54-1 (52.6%)34-36-1 (48.6%)26-18-0 (59.1%)
Pete Carroll116-102-9 (53.2%)64-68-6 (48.6%)52-34-3 (60.1%)
Todd Bowles44-52-5 (46%)19-22-2 (46.5%)25-30-3 (45.7%)
Ron Rivera104-99-4 (51.3%)44-51-2 (46.4%)60-48-2 (55.5%)

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.