NFL Betting: Each Head Coach’s Record Against the Spread

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Pittsburgh Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin looks from the sideline during the second half of a preseason NFL football game against the Atlanta Falcons, Thursday, Aug. 24, 2023, in Atlanta.
(Hakim Wright/AP Photo)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Sep 21, 2023, 1:46 PM
  • Two AFC head coaches who dominate as an underdog.
  • Kyle Shanahan’s drastic difference as a favorite vs. an underdog.
  • Read on to get favorite and underdog records for all 32 NFL head coaches.

When evaluating NFL odds, bettors should remember head coaches perform differently when they’re a favorite vs. an underdog.

This can equip bettors with an advantage and allow them to take advantage of certain spreads.  

Here, I’ll break down each head coach’s record as a favorite and an underdog. All data comes courtesy of Bet Labs. 

NFL Head Coaches Records Against the Spread (ATS)

Records reflective as of September 12. 

AFC Head Coaches

 

CoachATS Record FavoriteUnderdog
John Harbaugh123-113-8 (52%)78-83-5 (48.4%)45-30-3 (59.6%)
Sean McDermott53-40-6 (56.6%) 32-24-4 (56.7%)21-16-2 (56.8%)
Zac Taylor37-30-0 (55.2%)15-13-0 (53.6%)22-17-0 (56.4%)
Kevin Stefanski22-29-1 (43.3%)10-19-0 (34.5%)12-10-1 (54.5%)
Sean Payton133-107-3 (55.3%)87-78-1 (52.7%)46-29-2 (61.3%)
DeMeco Ryans0-2-0 (0%)0-0-0 (0%)0-2-0 (0%)
Shane Steichen1-1-0 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)
Doug Pederson47-52-0 (47.4%)24-29-0 (45.3%)23-23-0 (50%)
Andy Reid 167-151-6 (52.5%)119-115-4 (50.8%)48-36-2 (57.1%)
Josh McDaniels22-25-0 (46.8%)8-11-0 (42.1%)14-14-0 (50%)
Brandon Staley19-16-1 (54.2%)11-13-1 (46%)8-3-0 (72.7%)
Mike McDaniel10-9-0 (52.6%)5-6-0 (45.5%)5-3-0 (62.5%)
Bill Belichick183-129-10 (58.4%)151-105-8 (59%)32-24-2 (56.9%)
Robert Saleh16-20-0 (44.4%)3-3-0 (50%)13-17-0 (43.3%)
Mike Tomlin134-121-5 (52.5%)82-93-2 (46.9%)52-28-3 (64.5%)
Mike Vrabel44-38-2 (53.6%)19-23-1 (45.2%)25-15-1 (62.2%)

NFC Head Coaches

CoachATS RecordFavoriteUnderdog
Arthur Smith16-19-1 (45.8%)6-7-0 (46.2%)10-12-1 (45.5%)
Jonathan Gannon2-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (0%)2-0-0 (100%)
Frank Reich36-36-4 (50%)22-21-1 (51.2%)14-15-3 (48.4%)
Matt Eberflus5-14-0 (26.3%)0-3-0 (0%)5-11-0 (31.3%)
Mike McCarthy 142-108-6 (56.6%)102-70-4 (59.1%)40-38-2 (51.3%)
Dan Campbell28-20-0 (58.3%)4-5-0 (44.4%)24-15-0 (61.5%)
Matt LaFleur42-26-0 (61.8%)27-22-0 (55.1%)15-4-0 (78.9%)
Sean McVay52-45-3 (53.5%)36-34-2 (51.4%)16-11-1 (58.9%)
Kevin O'Connell8-10-1 (44.7%)6-6-1 (50%)2-4-0 (33.3%)
Dennis Allen21-32-2 (40%)4-9-1 (32.1%)17-23-1 (42.5%)
Brian Daboll13-6-0 (68.4%)3-3-0 (50%)10-3-0 (76.9%)
Nick Sirianni 16-18-1 (47.1%)13-12-1 (51.9%)3-6-0 (33.3%)
Kyle Shanahan51-48-1 (51.5%)25-30-1 (45.5%)26-18-0 (59.1%)
Pete Carroll109-95-8 (53.3%)61-64-5 (46.8%)48-31-3 (60.4%)
Todd Bowles36-45-5 (44.8%)17-19-2 (47.4%)19-26-3 (42.2%)
Ron Rivera99-89-4 (52.6%)44-48-2 (47.8%)55-41-2 (57.1%)

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.