- Patrick Mahomes’ outstanding record as an underdog.
- Joe Burrow’s brilliant ATS record since joining the league.
- Read on to get favorite & underdog records for all 32 starting quarterbacks.
When evaluating NFL odds, bettors should remember quarterbacks perform differently when they’re a favorite vs. an underdog.
This can equip bettors with an advantage and allow them to take advantage of certain spreads.
Here, I’ll break down each starting quarterback’s record as a favorite and an underdog. All data comes courtesy of Bet Labs.
NFL Quarterback Records Against the Spread (ATS)
Records reflective as of Dec. 8, 2024.
AFC Quarterbacks
| Quarterback | ATS Record | Favorite | Underdog |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson | 49-40-0 (55.1%) | 37-38-0 (49.3%) | 12-2-0 (85.7%) |
| Josh Allen | 57-43-5 (56.7%) | 39-33-3 (54%) | 18-10-2 (63.3%) |
| Joe Burrow | 37-26-1 (58.6%) | 22-16-1 (57.7%) | 15-10-0 (60%) |
| Deshaun Watson | 34-35-2 (47.9%) | 13-20-2 (40%) | 21-15-0 (58.3%) |
| Bo Nix | 9-3-0 (75%) | 5-0-0 (100%) | 4-3-0 (57.1%) |
| C.J. Stroud | 13-15-0 (46.4%) | 6-12-0 (33.3%) | 7-4-0 (63.6%) |
| Anthony Richardson | 9-5-0 (64.3%) | 3-2-0 (60%) | 6-3-0 (66.7%) |
| Trevor Lawrence | 27-32-1 (45.8%) | 8-11-1 (42.5%) | 19-21-0 (47.5%) |
| Patrick Mahomes | 52-52-4 (50%) | 44-50-3 (46.9%) | 8-2-1 (77.3%) |
| Gardner Minshew | 20-26-0 (43.5%) | 8-6-0 (57.1%) | 12-20-0 (37.5%) |
| Justin Herbert | 41-31-3 (56.7%) | 27-20-1 (57.3%) | 14-11-2 (55.6%) |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 33-25-2 (56.7%) | 20-14-1 (58.6%) | 13-11-1 (54%) |
| Jacoby Brissett | 25-24-4 (50.9%) | 10-8-0 (55.6%) | 15-16-4 (48.6%) |
| Aaron Rodgers | 131-101-5 (56.3%) | 103-76-3 (57.5%) | 28-25-2 (52.7%) |
| Russell Wilson | 100-88-8 (53.1%) | 60-69-6 (46.7%) | 40-19-2 (67.2%) |
| Will Levis | 5-13-0 (27.8%) | 1-4-0 (20%) | 4-9-0 (30.8%) |
NFC Quarterbacks
| Quarterback | ATS Record | Favorite | Underdog |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kirk Cousins | 78-78-2 (50%) | 40-42-2 (48.8%) | 38-36-0 (51.4%) |
| Kyler Murray | 42-34-2 (55.1%) | 11-18-0 (37.9%) | 31-16-2 (65.3%) |
| Bryce Young | 10-14-1 (42%) | 0-0-0 (0%) | 10-14-1 (42%) |
| Caleb Williams | 7-5-0 (58.3%) | 4-1-0 (80%) | 3-4-0 (42.9%) |
| Dak Prescott | 66-52-2 (55.8%) | 49-35-2 (58.1%) | 17-17-0 (50%) |
| Jared Goff | 75-52-3 (58.8%) | 47-33-3 (58.4%) | 28-19-0 (59.6%) |
| Jordan Love | 15-14-0 (51.7%) | 6-7-0 (46.2%) | 9-7-0 (56.3%) |
| Matthew Stafford | 98-114-6 (46.4%) | 52-57-3 (47.8%) | 46-58-3 (44.4%) |
| Sam Darnold | 30-38-1 (44.2%) | 8-15-0 (34.8%) | 20-23-1 (46.6%) |
| Derek Carr | 81-85-3 (48.8%) | 21-39-2 (35.5%) | 57-47-1 (54.8%) |
| Daniel Jones | 34-34-0 (50%) | 5-9-0 (35.7%) | 29-25-0 (53.7%) |
| Jalen Hurts | 31-30-2 (50.8%) | 22-23-2 (48.9%) | 9-7-0 (56.3%) |
| Brock Purdy | 21-15-0 (58.3%) | 21-13-0 (61.8%) | 0-2-0 (0%) |
| Geno Smith | 38-37-4 (50.6%) | 12-17-2 (41.9%) | 26-20-2 (56.3%) |
| Baker Mayfield | 44-53-1 (45.4%) | 18-28-1 (39.4%) | 26-25-0 (51%) |
| Jayden Daniels | 8-5-0 (61.5%) | 6-2-0 (75%) | 2-3-0 (40%) |
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