NFL Parlay Picks: 2 SGP’s for Divisional Round

Below, bettors can find a pair of NFL Parlay Picks for the divisional round based on NFL odds. 

Here, I’m looking to construct extremely correlated predictions based on team performances this season. 

For the process, I began with a game outcome and added legs that supported the thesis. For those new to the process, every leg has to come through for the bet to win. 

Let’s dive into the predictions. Odds are reflective at time of writing and are subject to movement. 

NFL Parlay Picks Today: 2 SGP’s for Divisional Round

Seahawks vs 49ers Prediction: Seahawks Moneyline & 49ers Under 17.5 Points (+105)

San Francisco’s defensive injuries lead me to question if they can win a low-scoring game. 

That proved to be the case in Week 1 with San Francisco winning 17-13 in Seattle. But it came with San Francisco playing at full strength and forcing a late red-zone turnover. 

When these teams last met, Seattle won 13-3. However, the scoreline proved a bit flattering for the Niners. 

Seattle finished 0-for-3 in the red zone at Levi’s Stadium. San Francisco, against a top-two defense, managed only a single red zone trip. 

This season, Seattle recorded a 9-1 SU record when they allowed 17 or less. Since last season, Mike Macdonald’s team is 14-1 in that scenario. 

Week 1 provided the only loss. Given those circumstances, I predict the Seattle defense shows up and mitigates a George Kittle-less Niners offense. 

Broncos vs Bills Prediction: Broncos Moneyline & Bills Under 23.5 Points (+145)

Buffalo’s victory trend continued last week in Jacksonville. When the offense clears 25.5 points, they usually win the game. 

The Bills recorded a 12-0 record this season when scoring at least 26 points. Otherwise, Buffalo is 1-5 SU with its lone win coming against the Browns. 

Denver lacks experience against good offenses this season. The argument for the defense is that Buffalo arrives with overwhelming injuries on that side of the ball. 

Vance Joseph’s defense has faced two games against top-eight DVOA offenses. By current DVOA, Buffalo offers the toughest test for Denver’s defense. 

The Broncos beat both Dallas and Green Bay at home in high-scoring affairs. Against Green Bay, the Broncos won a 34-26 shootout. 

That game script benefited Denver because Green Bay owns a worse pass defense than Buffalo. 

If the Broncos win on Sunday, it’s likely because the defense shows up on extended rest. 

Alternatively, a Bills Moneyline & Team Total Over 25.5 Points (+185) could be considered if you side with Buffalo.