Below, bettors can find NFL odds and a Panthers vs Lions prediction for their Week 4 SNF clash.
Panthers vs Lions Odds: Spread, Moneyline & Total
Lions vs Panthers Prediction
Based on the Lions’ outstanding offensive record and their overwhelming injuries in the secondary, my Panthers vs Lions prediction is the Total Over 50 Points (-118).
It’s time to sell the Carolina Panthers defense. Corner Mike Jackson sustained an injury in Week 3, leaving the Panthers vulnerable against a brilliant offense.
Carolina performed admirably in the last two games after getting raced for 59 in Week 1. However, allowing three points to Cooper Rush and 21 to Deshaun Watson should be expected.
Detroit ranks eighth in offensive DVOA through three games, per FTN Fantasy. Most impressively, Jahmyr Gibbs leads a rushing attack ranked second in DVOA.
Bettors saw the Bears ground game exploit Carolina’s defense in Week 1. The Panthers defense delivered its worst rush defense DVOA rating (25.7%) of its three games.
Since last season, Carolina’s worst defensive performances correlated with teams that dominated on the ground.
Carolina allowed more than 150 rushing yards seven times since last year. Those opponents – including Week 2 against Atlanta – averaged 29.3 points per game.
Take out the game against Cooper Rush and the figure rises to 33.7 points allowed per game.
All that said, bettors should expect Carolina moves the ball against Detroit’s defense. Even if you exclude the Lions’ performance in Buffalo, an injured defense has failed to hold up.
Last week, the pass defense recorded a 34.6% DVOA rating against the Jets. On plays excluding turnovers, Detroit ranks 30th in dropback EPA and success rate.
Bryce Young performed poorly in Week 3 against Cleveland. However, the Browns secondary offers significantly more resistance than the Lions.
In the first two games of the season, Carolina averaged a +35.9% pass offense DVOA rating. Despite a -21.1% rating in Week 3, the Panthers still rank 16th in pass offense DVOA.
It leads me to predict Carolina contributes to the total at home. With both offenses primed for points, the teams should clear a high number on Sunday night.
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