Bulls vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 21

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 21, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Rockets are -3.5 favorites vs. the Bulls
  • Total (Over/Under): 219.5 points
  • Watch the game on SCHN | NBCH

The Chicago Bulls visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Houston, TX.

The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Bulls vs Rockets Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bulls are 34-33 against the spread, while the Rockets are 37-29 against the spread.


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Bulls vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Chicago Bulls+3.5 -105O 218.5 -105+145
Houston Rockets -3.5 -115U 218.5 -115-175

Rockets vs Bulls Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Thursday‘s game with 65.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bulls and Rockets.

Rockets vs Bulls Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.7% confidence.


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  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games (+13.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 80 games (+13.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 28 away games (+10.90 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 28 away games (+10.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have covered the 2Q Spread in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+15.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 33 games at home (+14.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+13.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+11.95 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 2Q Spread in 22 of their last 31 games at home (+11.55 Units / 33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 34-33 (-2.3 Units / -3.03% ROI).

  • 34-35 against the Moneyline (+2.15 Units / 2.09% ROI)
  • 37-30 against the Over for game total points (+4 Units / 5.27% ROI)
  • 30-37 against the Under for game total points (-10.7 Units / -14.1% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 37-29 (+5.1 Units / 6.82% ROI).

  • 33-35 against the Moneyline (+3.95 Units / 3.84% ROI)
  • 31-36 against the Over for game total points (-8.6 Units / -11.49% ROI)
  • 36-31 against the Under for game total points (+1.95 Units / 2.61% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 71 games (-17.40 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 76 games (-14.95 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 4 of their last 22 games at home (-14.50 Units / -57% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 57 games (-13.70 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 33 games at home (-12.15 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 80 games (-25.30 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 82 games (-24.95 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 77 games (-18.15 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 53 games (-16.20 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 69 games (-16.00 Units / -20% ROI)

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Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Bulls are 8-12 (.400) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 9th-worst in the NBA. The Rockets have averaged 12.9 turnovers per game this season — 9th-lowest in the NBA.

The Bulls are 13-4 (.765) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bulls were 6-10 (.375) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Bulls are 18-11 (.621) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Rockets were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Rockets were 12-44 (.214) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

Injury Report: Rockets vs. BullsThursday‘s Game, Mar. 21

  • Steven Adams (Houston Rockets): Knee, Out For Season
  • Tari Eason (Houston Rockets): Lower Leg, Out
  • Torrey Craig (Chicago Bulls): Knee, Out
  • Lonzo Ball (Chicago Bulls): Knee, Out For Season
  • Zach LaVine (Chicago Bulls): Foot, Out For Season
  • Patrick Williams (Chicago Bulls): Foot, Out For Season

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 21.5 points in the paint per game (1,486 points/69 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.5

The Bulls averaged 4.9 second chance points per game (400 points/82 games) in the first half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Bulls averaged 9.9 second chance points per game (407 points/41 games) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Bulls made 10.4 three-pointers per game last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (943 assists/ 666 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (229 assists/ 198 TOs) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls stole the ball 644 times last season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Bulls averaged 7.9 steals per game (644 steals/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Bulls averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,958 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bulls allowed 11.6 second chance points per game (476 points/41 games) on the road last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets allowed an eFG% of 59% on the road last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Rockets allowed 19.0 fast break points per game (780 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3

The Rockets allowed a TS% of 55% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.