Celtics vs Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 11, 2024, 5:31 PM
  • The Celtics are -9.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 217.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | RTNW | NBSB

The Boston Celtics visit Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT in Portland, OR.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-105).

The Celtics vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 219.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 31-29 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 30-33 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics-12.5 -105O 219.5 -110-700
Portland Trail Blazers +12.5 -115U 219.5 -110+500

Trail Blazers vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Monday‘s game with 79.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Celtics and Trail Blazers.

Trail Blazers vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 55.3% confidence.


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  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 46 of their last 66 games (+24.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 32 away games (+20.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1Q Spread in 42 of their last 66 games (+15.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games (+14.15 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 62 games (+14.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 62 games (+15.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 53 games (+12.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games at home (+8.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games (+8.70 Units / 17% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 31-29 (-0.9 Units / -1.3% ROI).

  • 49-14 against the Moneyline (+9.3 Units / 3.06% ROI)
  • 30-33 against the Over for game total points (-6.3 Units / -9.09% ROI)
  • 33-30 against the Under for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 30-33 (-6.15 Units / -8.9% ROI).

  • 18-45 against the Moneyline (-4.65 Units / -6.91% ROI)
  • 31-32 against the Over for game total points (-4.2 Units / -6.06% ROI)
  • 32-31 against the Under for game total points (-2.05 Units / -2.96% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 62 games (-22.45 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 78 games (-18.65 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 64 games (-18.20 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 53 games (-17.75 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 69 games (-16.90 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 94 games (-21.50 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 86 games (-21.30 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 91 games (-19.60 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 70 of their last 97 games (-19.55 Units / -5% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 96 games (-15.40 Units / -15% ROI)

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Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Celtics are 31-6 (.838) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

The Celtics were 22-1 (.957) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

The Celtics are 33-7 (.825) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Trail Blazers have averaged 50.9 rebounds/game this season — T-9th-lowest in the NBA.

The Celtics are 29-1 (.967) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best in the NBA. The Trail Blazers have allowed opponents to shoot 49% this season — T-4th-worst in the NBA.

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Trail Blazers are 2-14 (.125) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — T-4th-worst in the NBA. The Celtics have shot 39% from three this season — T-3rd-best in the NBA.

The Trail Blazers are 5-21 (.192) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 3rd-worst in the NBA. The Celtics have averaged 12.4 turnovers per game this season — T-3rd-lowest in the NBA.

The Trail Blazers are winless (0-12) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .169

The Trail Blazers are 1-7 (.125) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

Injury Report: Trail Blazers vs. CelticsMonday‘s Game, Mar. 11

  • Scoot Henderson (Portland Trail Blazers): Groin, Out
  • Rayan Rupert (Portland Trail Blazers): Ankle, Out
  • Moses Brown (Portland Trail Blazers): Wrist, Out
  • Shaedon Sharpe (Portland Trail Blazers): Abdomen, Out
  • Malcolm Brogdon (Portland Trail Blazers): Elbow, Out
  • Robert Williams (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out For Season
  • Boston Celtics – No Injuries Reported

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,087 assists/ 527 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Celtics have made 16.2 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics have made 16.4 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics have made 16.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,179 assists/ 775 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (633 assists/ 433 TOs) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Trail Blazers have an eFG% of 51% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Trail Blazers have a TS% of 49% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 38.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,064 rebounds/53 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Celtics have averaged 38.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,176 rebounds/135 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,112 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 6.4 steals per game (858 steals/135 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,663 rebounds/52 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,401 rebounds/134 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,738 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three (59/223) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.