Grizzlies vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 20

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 20, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Warriors are -10.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 219.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | NSBA | BSSM

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).

The Grizzlies vs Warriors Over/Under is 219.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 34-35 against the spread, while the Warriors are 36-30 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies+11.5 -115O 219.5 -110+450
Golden State Warriors -11.5 -105U 219.5 -110-650

Warriors vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Wednesday‘s game with 86.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Warriors.

Warriors vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 52.0% confidence.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 77 games (+22.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 31 away games (+15.95 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 24 of their last 33 games (+13.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 57 games (+12.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 84 games (+11.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 60 games (+10.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 43 games at home (+9.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 54 games (+5.95 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.70 Units / 46% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 34-35 (-4.5 Units / -5.93% ROI).

  • 23-46 against the Moneyline (-0.55 Units / -0.69% ROI)
  • 32-37 against the Over for game total points (-8.7 Units / -11.46% ROI)
  • 37-32 against the Under for game total points (+1.8 Units / 2.37% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 36-30 (+3 Units / 4.07% ROI).

  • 35-32 against the Moneyline (-12.8 Units / -9.38% ROI)
  • 34-33 against the Over for game total points (-2.3 Units / -3.12% ROI)
  • 33-34 against the Under for game total points (-4.4 Units / -5.97% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 80 games (-20.80 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 46 games at home (-20.25 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 64 games (-19.75 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 39 games at home (-18.75 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 46 games at home (-16.35 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 81 games (-33.10 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 84 games (-23.90 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 84 games (-23.00 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 71 games (-22.75 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 76 games (-15.55 Units / -18% ROI)

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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Grizzlies are winless (0-22) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .209

The Grizzlies are 2-21 (.087) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .323

The Grizzlies are 6-16 (.273) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Grizzlies are 2-21 (.087) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — worst in the NBA. The Warriors have shot 38% from three this season — 8th-best in the NBA.

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Warriors are 8-12 (.400) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Warriors were 7-11 (.389) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Warriors are 7-15 (.318) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

The Warriors are 22-4 (.846) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three this season — T-5th-worst in the NBA.

Injury Report: Warriors vs. GrizzliesWednesday‘s Game, Mar. 20

  • Chris Paul (Golden State Warriors): Hand, Out
  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Desmond Bane (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Finger, Out
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. (Memphis Grizzlies): Back, Out

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies have a TS% of 49% this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 47% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Grizzlies have a TS% of 48% in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Warriors had 20.2 free throw attempts per game last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Warriors averaged 29.8 assists per game (2,446 assists/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 5.8 blocks per game (473 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Grizzlies have allowed a TS% of 45% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50%

The Grizzlies stole the ball 680 times last season — 3rd most among NBA teams

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (473 blocks/76 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (297 blocks/76 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Warriors have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (290 blocks/67 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Warriors have averaged 6.8 steals per game (456 steals/67 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

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