Hawks vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 21

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 21, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Suns are -9.5 favorites vs. the Hawks
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | BSSE | KTVK

The Atlanta Hawks visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The Hawks vs Suns Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 23-45 against the spread, while the Suns are 27-40 against the spread.


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Hawks vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Atlanta Hawks+9.5 -115O 226.5 -115+310
Phoenix Suns -9.5 -105U 226.5 -105-400

Suns vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Thursday‘s game with 85.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hawks and Suns.

Suns vs Hawks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.3% confidence.


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  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 34 games (+12.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+11.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 83 games (+9.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 80 games (+8.60 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 away games (+7.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 88 games (+16.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 32 games at home (+16.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 43 games at home (+15.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 49 games (+14.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+11.40 Units / 46% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 23-45 (-26.5 Units / -35.43% ROI).

  • 30-38 against the Moneyline (-16.95 Units / -15.61% ROI)
  • 34-32 against the Over for game total points (-1.15 Units / -1.56% ROI)
  • 32-34 against the Under for game total points (-5.4 Units / -7.32% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 27-40 (-17 Units / -22.4% ROI).

  • 40-29 against the Moneyline (-5 Units / -2.92% ROI)
  • 30-38 against the Over for game total points (-11.85 Units / -15.6% ROI)
  • 38-30 against the Under for game total points (+5 Units / 6.59% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 87 games (-41.10 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 88 games (-29.80 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 32 of their last 83 games (-21.90 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 80 games (-19.70 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 49 games (-19.25 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 17 of their last 62 games (-33.65 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 28 of their last 83 games (-32.50 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 85 games (-21.85 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 86 games (-20.35 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 62 games (-19.45 Units / -20% ROI)

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Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Hawks were undefeated (19-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Hawks are 7-22 (.241) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 10th-worst in the NBA. The Suns have shot 38% from three this season — T-8th-best in the NBA.

The Hawks were 8-1 (.889) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Hawks are 2-16 (.111) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .173

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Suns are winless (0-8) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .115

The Suns were 27-15 (.643) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Suns were 16-4 (.800) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

The Suns are 19-10 (.655) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

Injury Report: Suns vs. HawksThursday‘s Game, Mar. 21

  • Jusuf Nurkic (Phoenix Suns): Ankle, Out
  • Bradley Beal (Phoenix Suns): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out
  • Onyeka Okongwu (Atlanta Hawks): Toe, Out
  • Mouhamed Gueye (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Game Time Decision

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (1,060 turnovers/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Hawks made 10.8 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Hawks averaged 1.28 points per shot (9,711 points/7,574 shots) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Hawks have averaged 5.6 fast break points per game (383 points/68 games) in the second half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 11.8 fast break points per game (1,785 points/151 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (205 assists/ 152 TOs) in close and late situations this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have an eFG% of 56% this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Suns have averaged 13.2 second chance points per game (913 points/69 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,321 rebounds/68 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Hawks have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (314 blocks/68 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (475/1,150) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks have allowed 17.5 fast break points per game (576 points/33 games) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.9

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,518 rebounds/69 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Suns have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (848 blocks/151 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Suns blocked 432 shots last season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Suns have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (416 blocks/69 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.