2 Best NFL Player Props for SNF: 49ers vs Bears

A path to the NFC No. 1 seed is on the line in SNF, featuring 49ers vs Bears. 

In addition to the pregame spread and total, bettors can now find NFL odds for player props at the BetMGM online sportsbook. 

Below, I’ve outlined a pair of player prop predictions for the NFC matchup. Odds are reflective at time of writing and are subject to movement. 

49ers vs Bears Prediction: SNF Player Props

Kyle Monangai Over 42.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

The biggest advantage in this game is the Bears’ rushing attack against the 49ers’ rush defense. 

Although San Francisco held Jonathan Taylor to 46 yards, the performance is somewhat misleading. Indianapolis played without both starting tackles and lost another lineman early in the game. 

No such concern exists with the Bears line. Chicago also ranks fourth in rush offense DVOA, whereas San Francisco remains 22nd in rush defense DVOA, per ftnfantasy.com. 

Monangai cleared this benchmark in four of his previous five games. The lone failure came against the Browns, which sits fifth in rush defense DVOA. 

On Black Friday, Monangai notched 130 rushing yards against the Eagles. That game offers the closest comparison to San Francisco’s defense, as the Eagles rank 16th in rush defense DVOA. 

Dating back to Week 6, Chicago’s rookie back has cleared this benchmark in six of 10 games. 

Accordingly, I rate this a strong sell-high spot on San Francisco’s defense and predict Monangai clears this number for a seventh game. 

Caleb Williams 1H Over 111.5 Passing Yards (-115)

On MNF, Colts quarterback Philip Rivers threw for 277 yards. That output offers an alarming sign about San Francisco’s defense. 

What is perhaps the most surprising about Rivers’ yardage output: A minority of that total came in second-half garbage time. 

Rivers threw for 175 passing yards in the first half against San Francisco against 102 in the second half. 

Williams struggled against this prop in both games against the Packers. However, sandwiched in the middle of those games is a 190-yard first half against the Browns. 

Plus, it appears Luther Burden could return from injury in time for Sunday’s game. 

That personnel change should boost Williams, who has excelled against similar coverage schemes. This season, San Francisco runs zone coverage at the league’s 13th-highest rate. 

Williams owns one of the worst completion percentages against zone (58%, better than only Shedeur Sanders). 

However, his 2,104 yards against the scheme rank 10th. San Francisco, meanwhile, ranks 30th in yards allowed from zone coverage. 

Given those factors, I predict Williams starts fast against a flawed defense.