2 NFL Player Props for SNF: 49ers vs Falcons

To close out the Week 7 Sunday action, it’s 49ers vs Falcons on Sunday Night Football. 

In addition to the pregame spread and total, bettors can now find NFL odds for player props at the BetMGM online sportsbook. 

Below, I’ve outlined a pair of player prop predictions for the matchup. Odds are reflective at time of writing and are subject to movement. 

49ers vs Falcons Prediction: Player Props

Drake London Over 70.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Darnell Mooney is once again questionable to appear for Atlanta while Ray-Ray McLoud is out. If Mooney fails to play on Sunday, it likely streamlines all the targets to London. 

London struggled early in the year, staying under this number every game from Week 1-3. Then, he recorded back-to-back 100+ yard contests, including 158 against Buffalo on MNF. 

Last week, Michael Penix Jr. targeted London 16 times and Bijan Robinson eight times. Those two amassed 75% of all targets. 

Even if Mooney comes back, the matchup advantage for London is difficult to ignore. On Sunday, he plays a 49ers secondary running zone coverage 77% of the time. 

This season, London owns a 32.6% target share against zone. His 388 yards against that scheme leads Robinson by 159 yards! 

Across the entire league, only Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Emeka Egbuka and Ja’Marr Chase have amassed more yardage against zone than London. 

Plus, San Francisco possesses no pass rush threat. If kept clean, I trust Penix Jr. to break down a defense 23rd in pass defense DVOA. 

Michael Penix Jr. Longest Completion Over 33.5 Yards (-115)

Penix has cleared this benchmark in consecutive games after staying under it in two of his first three. 

On Sunday, he’ll get another chance to clear it versus a pass defense prone to big plays recently. 

San Francisco has allowed both Matthew Stafford and Baker Mayfield to clear this benchmark. Both achieved it with room to spare, including 45 yards from Mayfield. 

For the entire season, only Kyler Murray and Trevor Lawrence stayed under this line against San Francisco. 

As previously noted, San Francisco lacks any semblance of a pass rush. That gives time for Atlanta’s receivers to get downfield and exploit a weak secondary. 

Entering Week 7, only nine teams rank worse than the 49ers’ defense in DVOA against deep passes. 

Penix only stayed under this line against Minnesota and Carolina. Those teams rank seventh and 10th, respectively, in deep pass DVOA, per ftnfantasy.com. 

As a result, I predict Penix clears this line against a fraudulent pass defense. 

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Odds: 49ers vs Falcons