F1 Odds, Betting Picks: 2024 Japanese Grand Prix

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McLaren driver's Lando Norris, left, of Britain and Oscar Piastri of Australia react ahead of the Australian Formula One Grand Prix at Albert Park, Melbourne, Australia, Thursday, March 21, 2024.
(AP Photo/Asanka Brendon Ratnayake)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Apr 04, 2024, 12:27 PM
  • Bet this prop market centered around McLaren reaching the podium.

Below are my best bets for the 2024 Japanese Grand Prix based on F1 odds. Max Verstappen is the heavy favorite after dominating the 2023 season with a record 16 victories.

  • Date: Sunday, April 7
  • Time: 2 a.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN

Australian Grand Prix Odds: Race Winner

  • Max Verstappen: -400
  • Charles Leclerc: +800
  • Carlos Sainz: +800
  • Sergio Perez: +1200
  • Lando Norris: +1400
  • Oscar Piastri: +4000
  • George Russell: +4000
  • Lewis Hamilton: +5000
  • Fernando Alonso: +6600

Japanese Grand Prix Prediction

Prediction: Either or Both Lando Norris or Oscar Piastri – Podium Finish (+100)

McLaren has historically excelled at the high downforce tracks with minimal DRS zones. 

Japan, where Norris and teammate Oscar Piastri both placed on the podium last season, fits that designation, along with Hungary and Qatar. 

The common trait amongst all three tracks? They all feature only a single DRS detection zone. 

McLaren featured their upgraded car at all three of those circuits last season and saw Norris reach the podium all three times. 

Piastri also snatched a podium finish in two of those three circuits and never finished worse than P5. 

Although it’s a buy-high spot for both drivers – Norris finished third in Australia while Piastri finished fourth – the race pace is so encouraging. 

Per Formula Data Analysis, McLaren finished only 0.1s/lap off Ferrari’s race pace in Melbourne. 

 

Although the race featured a Max Verstappen retirement, I’m still confident in McLaren’s ability to secure a podium in Suzuka.

Japanese Grand Prix Winners by Year

YearDriverConstructor
2023Max VerstappenRed Bull-Honda RBPT
2022Max VerstappenRed Bull-Honda RBPT
2019Valtteri BottasMercedes
2018Lewis HamiltonMercedes
2017Lewis HamiltonMercedes
2016Nico RosbergMercedes
2015Lewis HamiltonMercedes
2014Lewis HamiltonMercedes

2024 F1 Schedule & Results

DateGrand PrixWinner
March 2Bahrain Grand PrixMax Verstappen
March 9Saudi Arabian Grand PrixMax Verstappen
March 24Australian Grand PrixCarlos Sainz
April 7Japanese Grand Prix-
April 21Chinese Grand Prix-
May 5Miam Grand Prix-
May 19Emilia Romagna Grand Prix-
May 26Monaco Grand Prix-
June 9Canadian Grand Prix-
June 23Spanish Grand Prix-
June 30Austrian Grand Prix-
July 7British Grand Prix-
July 21Hungarian Grand Prix-
July 28Belgian Grand Prix-
Aug. 25Dutch Grand Prix-
Sept. 1Italian Grand Prix-
Sept. 15Azerbaijan Grand Prix-
Sept. 22Singapore Grand Prix-
Oct. 20United States Grand Prix-
Oct. 27Mexico City Grand Prix-
Nov. 3São Paulo Grand Prix-
Nov. 23Las Vegas Grand Prix-
Dec. 1Qatar Grand Prix-
Dec. 8Abu Dhabi Grand Prix-

Teams & Drivers in 2024 World Championship

TeamConstructorDrivers
BWT AlpineAlpine-RenaultPierre Gasly & Esteban Ocon
Astron Martin AramcoAston Martin Aramco-MercedesFernando Alonso & Lance Stroll
Scuderia FerrariFerrariCharles Leclerc & Carlos Sainz Jr.
MoneyGram HaasHaas-FerrariKevin Magnussen & Nico Hülkenberg
Stake Kick SauberKick Sauber-FerrariZhou Guanyu & Valtteri Bottas
McLarenMcLaren-MercedesLando Norris & Oscar Piastri
Mercedes-AMG PetronasMercedesLewis Hamilton & George Russell
Visa Cash App RBRB-Honda RBPTDaniel Ricciardo & Yuki Tsunoda
Oracle Red Bull RacingRed Bull Racing-Honda RBPTMax Verstappen & Sergio Pérez
Williams RacingWilliams-MercedesLogan Sargeant & Alexander Albon

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.