- The Yankees (64-30) are -160 favorites vs the Orioles (46-46)
- Yankees starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon (10-2), 3.85 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Tyler Wells (7-5), 3.37 ERA
- Watch the game on Prime Video
The New York Yankees (-160) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+135) on Friday, July 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Yankees vs Orioles Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Yankees are 64-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 59-33 ATS.
Yankees vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 -105 | O 9 -120 | -160 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -115 | U 9 +100 | +135 |
Yankees vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s matchup with 59.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 30 away games (+14.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 29 away games (+11.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 27 away games (+11.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 away games (+10.30 Units / 65% ROI)
- Joey Gallo has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+7.90 Units / 24% ROI)
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+14.30 Units / 57% ROI)
- Trey Mancini has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 36 games at home (+13.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+12.95 Units / 59% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.75 Units / 44% ROI)
Orioles vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Orioles vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
Orioles vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
Orioles vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wells | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 -105 |
| Jameson Taillon | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -135 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 84 games (+17.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games (+4.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.50 Units / 7% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 72 games (+21.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 72 games (+20.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 30 games (+13.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+10.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 39 of their last 69 games (+9.10 Units / 12% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 46-48 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -3% ROI).
- 64-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.25 Units / 8.17% ROI
- 45-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.6 Units / -5.4% ROI
- 46-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -3.09% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 59-33 against the Run Line (+19.8 Units / 16.47% ROI).
- 46-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.95 Units / 16.73% ROI
- 41-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.1 Units / -9.1% ROI
- 47-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.85 Units / 1.79% ROI
Jameson Taillon: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has walked 5 of 241 right-handed batters (2%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 98th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 12 of 413 batters (3%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 2 of 154 batters (1%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Jameson Taillon against right-handed batters since the start of last season is 381.4 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 399.5
Tyler Wells: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Wells has walked 5 of 33 right-handed batters (15%) this month (3 games) — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fifth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (67/246) against Tyler Wells since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .154 (6-for-39) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: .334 — 99th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has a strikeout rate of just 30% (59 SO in 194 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 42% — fourth Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Yankees are 7-18 (.280) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .116.
The Yankees are 37-12 (.755) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Yankees are 50-2 (.962) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Yankees are 38-7 (.844) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Orioles are just 11-24 (.314) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 22-6 (.786) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
The Orioles are 25-17 (.595) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Orioles are just 9-25 (.265) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .319 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Yankees hitters are slugging .574 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .441.
Yankees hitters are slugging .307 with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .269.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have 273 strikeouts in 1,087 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Orioles hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .298 (6,285 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 52% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Yankees have won 62% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 60% of the time at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- Félix Bautista (Orioles): Hand, Day-to-Day
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
- Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Ronald Marinaccio (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
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