Yankees vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 22, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Yankees (64-30) are -160 favorites vs the Orioles (46-46)
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon (10-2), 3.85 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Tyler Wells (7-5), 3.37 ERA
  • Watch the game on Prime Video

The New York Yankees (-160) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+135) on Friday, July 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Yankees vs Orioles Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Yankees are 64-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 59-33 ATS.

Yankees vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 -105O 9 -120-160
Orioles +1.5 -115U 9 +100+135

Yankees vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s matchup with 59.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Orioles vs Yankees and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Donaldson has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 30 away games (+14.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Josh Donaldson has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 29 away games (+11.90 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 27 away games (+11.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 away games (+10.30 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Joey Gallo has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+7.90 Units / 24% ROI)

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+14.30 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Trey Mancini has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 36 games at home (+13.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+12.95 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.75 Units / 44% ROI)

Orioles vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Anthony Santander 0.5 +475 0.5 -1100
Austin Hays 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Jorge Mateo 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000

Orioles vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Anthony Santander 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Austin Hays 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Cedric Mullins 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Jorge Mateo 0.5 -175 0.5 +125

Orioles vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Anthony Santander 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Austin Hays 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Jorge Mateo 0.5 +250 0.5 -375

Orioles vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Wells 3.5 -135 3.5 -105
Jameson Taillon 4.5 -105 4.5 -135
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 84 games (+17.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.00 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games (+4.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 72 games (+21.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 72 games (+20.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 30 games (+13.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+10.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 39 of their last 69 games (+9.10 Units / 12% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 46-48 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -3% ROI).

  • 64-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.25 Units / 8.17% ROI
  • 45-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.6 Units / -5.4% ROI
  • 46-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -3.09% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 59-33 against the Run Line (+19.8 Units / 16.47% ROI).

  • 46-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.95 Units / 16.73% ROI
  • 41-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.1 Units / -9.1% ROI
  • 47-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.85 Units / 1.79% ROI

Jameson Taillon has walked 5 of 241 right-handed batters (2%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 98th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has walked 12 of 413 batters (3%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has walked 2 of 154 batters (1%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Jameson Taillon against right-handed batters since the start of last season is 381.4 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 399.5

Tyler Wells: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tyler Wells has walked 5 of 33 right-handed batters (15%) this month (3 games) — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fifth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (67/246) against Tyler Wells since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .154 (6-for-39) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: .334 — 99th Percentile.

Tyler Wells has a strikeout rate of just 30% (59 SO in 194 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 42% — fourth Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Yankees are 7-18 (.280) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .116.

The Yankees are 37-12 (.755) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Yankees are 50-2 (.962) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Yankees are 38-7 (.844) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Orioles are just 11-24 (.314) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 22-6 (.786) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .715.

The Orioles are 25-17 (.595) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Orioles are just 9-25 (.265) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Yankees hitters are slugging .319 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Yankees hitters are slugging .574 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .441.

Yankees hitters are slugging .307 with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .269.

Orioles hitters have 273 strikeouts in 1,087 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Orioles hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Orioles hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .298 (6,285 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 52% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The Yankees have won 62% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 60% of the time at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
  • Félix Bautista (Orioles): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
  • Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Ronald Marinaccio (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.