Below, bettors can find my Week 9 anytime TD scorer predictions based on NFL odds.
To start, I’m looking at a touchdown scorer prediction in Lions vs Dolphins. Then, I’m targeting a sell-high opportunity on Tampa Bay’s defense in Bears vs Buccaneers.
Let’s dive into the predictions. Odds are reflective at time of writing and are subject to movement.
Best Anytime TD Scorer Predictions Today: Week 9
Sam LaPorta Anytime Touchdown (+185) at Dolphins
LaPorta recorded three touchdowns in four games before failing to find the end zone in his last two. Now, he gets a favorable matchup against one of the league’s worst pass defenses.
Yes @ +185Miami kept New England’s tight ends outside the end zone last week. However, it proved an exception to their season trend rather than the rule.
In Week 7, Mason Taylor scored twice against the Dolphins. Cincinnati added two touchdowns via Mike Gesicki and Tanner Hudson in Week 5.
Travis Kelce and George Kittle also found the end zone vs. Miami’s defense. It renders the Patriots, Vikings and Raiders as the only offenses whose tight ends failed to score against the Dolphins.
More concerning is the step forward Miami’s defense takes in this game. Based on each team’s offensive DVOA record entering Week 9, the Lions qualify as their second-hardest opponent.
The most difficult test came against the Bengals. In Week 5, Cincinnati amassed five red zone opportunities against the Dolphins.
This season, LaPorta leads all Detroit skill players with eight targets inside the 10-yard line. In a favorable matchup, I predict he finds the end zone for the first time since Week 5.
Colston Loveland Anytime Touchdown (+165) vs. Buccaneers
For this matchup, I narrowed down the choices to Luther Burden or Loveland. Given the better price on Loveland, I elected to predict a score for him over Burden.
Yes @ +165Tampa Bay’s defense ranks amongst the league’s best right now. However, opponent quality leaves something to be desired.
Turnovers helped Todd Bowles’ unit look better than advertised recently. Since Week 5, the defense has forced 12 turnovers over four games, including 3+ in three of those contests.
They go from facing Michael Penix Jr/Zac Robinson in the rain to Caleb Williams/Ben Johnson. It hardly rates as a recipe for success.
This season, Tampa Bay allowed only three rushing TD’s compared to 10 passing TD’s.
Mike Gesicki, Blake Whitehard, Tucker Kraft and Darnell Washington all found the end zone against Tampa Bay. It could lead to some positive regression for Loveland, a frequent red zone target.
This season, Loveland amassed 10 red zone targets, one fewer than Burden. However, he matches Burden’s targets from inside the 10-yard line (4).
Pair those trends with the matchup, and I predict Loveland finds the end zone for the third time in his last four games.
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