NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions, Best Bets: Week 5

Below are my anytime touchdown scorer prop bet predictions for Week 5 of the NFL regular season. 

For those unfamiliar with this market, it simply asks bettors to identify players who will score a touchdown at any point during the game. 

Alternatively, bettors can elect to wager on the game’s first touchdown scorer. That asks bettors to identify the player from either team who will find the endzone first. 

This season, be sure to check out BetMGM’s Second Chance Touchdown Scorer Offer! 

Let’s dive into my Week 5 predictions based on NFL betting lines. 

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Prediction: Commanders vs. Browns

Based on Cleveland’s record allowing rushing touchdowns, my anytime touchdown scorer prediction for Commanders vs. Browns is Brian Robinson Jr. (+100).

Even though bettors are buying high on Robinson, who has scored three touchdowns in four games, he receives a favorable matchup. 

Cleveland is interesting in that they’re fourth in PFF’s rush defensive grades. However, the Browns have simultaneously allowed a rushing touchdown in all four games. 

That spells trouble against Robinson, who has dominated Washington’s red zone touches. 

Amongst Washington backs, Robinson has 10 of 14 attempts inside the 10-yard line and 11 of 19 rushing attempts from inside the 20. 

That trend has continued since last season. In 2023, Robinson amassed 12 of Washington’s 18 rushing attempts from inside the 10-yard line. 

As a result, I’ll back Robinson to find the endzone for the third straight game on Sunday. 

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Prediction: Vikings vs. Jets

Due to New York’s lackluster rush defense and Minnesota’s red zone tendencies, my Vikings vs. Jets anytime touchdown scorer prediction is Aaron Jones (+105). 

Jones faces an incredibly below-average Jets run defense on Sunday in London. 

It’s also a great sell-high spot on the Jets, who haven’t allowed a rushing touchdown in two straight games. 

But this remains a Jets defense that’s 31st in PFF’s rush defensive grades facing a Minnesota offense that operates heavily on the ground in the red zone. 

Jones is T-7th amongst all backs in rushing attempts inside the 10-yard line. 

Add in his four targets inside the 10-yard line, and he’s second only to Kyren Williams on attempts + targets inside the 10. 

Just on Minnesota, Jones has 12 touches inside the 10. That’s more than every wide receiver and tight end combined! 

That makes this price surprising. While it could prove a trap, I’ll pay to see New York defend a strong offensive scheme.

Anytime TD Scorer Predictions: Week 5 Trends

• Austin Ekeler (WAS) has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last 14 appearances with his team as a favorite following a win.
• Kyren Williams (LAR) has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last nine regular season appearances against NFC opponents.
• Derrick Henry (BAL) has scored at least one touchdown in 13 of his last 14 Sunday appearances with his team as a road favorite.
• Jonathan Taylor (IND) has scored a touchdown in each of his last six appearances against AFC opponents.
• James Conner (ARI) has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Cardinals’ last six games following a loss.
• Nico Collins (HOU) has scored at least one touchdown in eight of his last nine home appearances against AFC opponents.