Tigers vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 28, 2024, 11:02 AM
  • The Tigers are -175 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Tigers / White Sox TV Channel: BSDT | NSCH

The Detroit Tigers (-165) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+140) on Thursday, March 28, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

Tigers vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers-1.5 +100O 7.5 -105-165
White Sox +1.5 -120U 7.5 -115+140

Tigers vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Thursday‘s game with 65.6% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Andy Ibanez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games (+5.90 Units / 197% ROI)
  • Andre Lipcius has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+2.15 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Jake Rogers has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the RBIs Over in his last away game (+1.85 Units / 185% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Runs Over in his last away game (+1.80 Units / 180% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Clint Frazier has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Adam Haseley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.25 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Clint Frazier has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+1.90 Units / 190% ROI)
  • Adam Haseley has hit the Runs Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Clint Frazier has hit the Singles Under in his last game at home (+1.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 78 away games (+16.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 78 away games (+16.52 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.24 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)

Tarik Skubal has at least 6 strikeouts in each of his last eight games — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Tarik Skubal had a strike rate of 70% (760/1,092) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 96th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal had a strike rate of 69% (846/1,218) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 99th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal allowed an OBP of just .254 (268 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .309 — 97th Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Garrett Crochet has limited playing time.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Tigers were 32-9 (.780) when they scored in the first inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .612.

The Tigers are just 8-14 (.364) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Tigers are just 36-49 (.424) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.

The Tigers are 20-9 (.690) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .584.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The White Sox were just 51-8 (.864) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The White Sox were just 19-42 (.311) after a win in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The White Sox were just 11-22 (.333) after a home win in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The White Sox were just 8-20 (.286) after a road win in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.

The Tigers have answered-back in just 21% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

The Tigers have a winning percentage of just 44% at home since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

The Tigers batted just .133 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.

Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .300 (741 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.

White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .213 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

White Sox hitters averaged just 3.75 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

White Sox hitters drew 289 walks in 4,595 PA’s (6%) against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

White Sox hitters had an OPS of just .631 (1,900 PA’s) in innings 7-9 in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .710.

Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 2.93 (464.0 IP) against division opponents in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 52% of their games on the road since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed the 29th hardest ball in play hit (119.5 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).

White Sox pitchers walked 654 of 6,301 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers won only 19% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

White Sox pitchers had an ERA of 5.06 (689.2 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.

White Sox vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Out
  • John Brebbia (Chicago White Sox): Calf, Out
  • Michael Soroka (Chicago White Sox): Forearm, Day-To-Day
  • Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Luis Robert (Chicago White Sox): Knee, Out
  • Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Personal, Out
  • Dillon Dingler (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Riley Greene (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
  • Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, Out
  • Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
  • Mason Englert (Detroit Tigers): Hip, Out
  • Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.