- The Bills are a one-point home underdog against the Chiefs.
- The Bills have won each of their last 17 games following a road win.
- My Bills vs Chiefs prediction is the Chiefs Team Total Over 26.5 Points (-140).
The latest Josh Allen vs Patrick Mahomes showcase takes place this week in Buffalo.
Buffalo improved to 5-2 with a blowout win over the Panthers on Sunday. Still, the Bills trail the Patriots for the AFC East division lead with New England carrying a head-to-head edge.
Kansas City currently sits at 4-3 with Chiefs vs Commanders set to feature on MNF. With a win, Kansas City would move into a tie with the Chargers for second in the AFC West.
Bet on Bills vs. Chiefs and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds.
Bills vs. Chiefs: NFL Week 9 Odds
Bills vs. Chiefs Prediction
Based on the Bills’ defensive issues and the leap in opponent offensive quality, my Bills vs Chiefs prediction is the Chiefs Team Total Over 26.5 Points (-140).
Kansas City’s defense offers the stiffest test for Buffalo this season. As of this writing, Kansas City ranks second in offensive DVOA, nine spots ahead of New England.
What is extra concerning about Buffalo: the team hasn’t looked good defensively against an easy schedule.
Buffalo ranks 20th in defensive DVOA, with only two teams playing easier schedules.
From a points standpoint, Baltimore (40) is the last team to clear this benchmark against Buffalo. That came in Week 1, creating a potential sell-high spot on the Bills defense.
Kansas City managed only 21 points in its last trip to Buffalo. However, Rashee Rice and Isiah Pacheco both missed the game.
Bettors saw a better version of Kansas City’s offense in the 2024 AFC Championship. The Chiefs scored 32 points, even with Rice still missing.
Since Week 4, Kansas City has cleared this benchmark in every game. It could become five straight successes if they achieve it against Washington on MNF.
Even more impressive? Kansas City bested that number against better defenses. The team notched 28 at Jacksonville, 31 against Detroit and 31 against Las Vegas.
All three of those units outpace Buffalo in defensive DVOA, per ftnfantasy.com. Accordingly, I predict this marks a strong sell-high spot on Buffalo.
Betting Bills vs. Chiefs: NFL Public Betting
| Team | % of ATS Bets | % of ATS Money | % of ML Bets | % of ML Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | 53% | 61% | 32% | 45% |
| Bills | 47% | 39% | 68% | 55% |
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
