49ers Over/Under Wins, 2024 NFL Win Totals

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San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy (13) runs during the NFC Championship NFL football game against the Detroit Lions in Santa Clara, Calif., Sunday, Jan. 28, 2024.
(AP Photo/Scot Tucker)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Jul 11, 2024, 7:50 PM
  • The 49ers’ 2024 win total is set at 11.5 wins at BetMGM.
  • San Francisco has cleared this win total each of the last two seasons.
  • Why the 49ers schedule could make it difficult to clear their win total.

For the 2024 NFL season, the 49ers win total sits at 11.5 wins at the BetMGM online sportsbook

San Francisco has established itself as the NFC standard. They’ve won the division two years on the bounce, reaching the conference championship in 2022 and the Super Bowl in 2023. 

This season, San Francisco enters tied for the highest win total amongst all teams. If they clear 11.5 wins, it will mark the third consecutive year they’ve won at least 12 games. 

Here’s a look at the NFL betting lines for San Francisco’s 2024 win total. 

49ers Win Total Odds

The 49ers’ season win total is set at 11.5 games. 

The odds on San Francisco’s win total are shaded slightly to the under. As it stands, the price on the 49ers to win 11 or fewer games is -125 for an implied probability of 55.6%. 

Comparatively, head coach Kyle Shanahan’s side is +105 to win 12 or more games. That produces an implied probability of 48.8%. 

Here are the 2024 NFL win totals for all NFC West teams:

49ers 2024 Schedule

Week NumberOpponent
Week 1New York Jets (H)
Week 2Minnesota Vikings (A)
Week 3Los Angeles Rams (A)
Week 4New England Patriots (H)
Week 5Arizona Cardinals (H)
Week 6Seattle Seahawks (A)
Week 7Kansas City Chiefs (H)
Week 8Dallas Cowboys (H)
Week 9Bye
Week 10Tampa Bay Buccaneers (A)
Week 11Seattle Seahawks (H)
Week 12Green Bay Packers (A)
Week 13Buffalo Bills (A)
Week 14Chicago Bears (H)
Week 15Los Angeles Rams (H)
Week 16Miami Dolphins (A)
Week 17Detroit Lions (H)
Week 18Arizona Cardinals (A)

49ers 2024 Win Total Prediction

LEAN 49ers Under 11.5 Wins (-125)

I rate the 49ers as the best team in football, but schedule makers did them zero favors. 

San Francisco faces an average schedule in terms of difficulty – 18th-hardest, to be exact – but they play a number of games with a rest discrepancy. 

All told San Francisco faces a -21 net rest disadvantage this season, according to sharpfootballanalysis.com. 

Within that sample, eight of San Francisco’s 17 games come against an opponent who has more time to prepare for San Francisco. 

On the other hand, San Francisco plays a measly two games where they have more time to prepare than their opponent. 

That might not matter, especially when you consider San Francisco faced a -20 net rest disadvantage last year and still managed to win 12 games. 

Additionally, it should be noted San Francisco ran slightly unlucky last season. 

Most 49ers games ended in a blowout last season – they finished 11-2 in games decided by 10+ points. 

However, the 49ers finished 0-2 in games decided by three or fewer points and 1-3 in games decided by seven or fewer points. 

Based on expected record, the 49ers played more like a 13-4 team during the regular season. 

But given the schedule disadvantage and the fact San Francisco plays a harder schedule this year, it’s the under or nothing for me.

Most Wins in 49ers History

The 49ers’ franchise record for most regular season wins is 15, occurring in 1984 when they won the Super Bowl.

The 49ers have won 14 or more regular season games in a season four times.

Fewest Wins in 49ers History

The fewest regular season wins in the 49ers’ franchise history is two, which has happened four times, most recently in 2016.

Updated NFL Futures Odds

NFL futures are available at the online sportsbook throughout the entire year.

From offseason conference championship odds and win totals to in-season division odds and make/miss playoffs odds, there are futures markets for everyone.

Check out updated NFL odds and keep an eye on the best sports betting promotions throughout the year.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.