- Belmont (9-14) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Valparaiso (14-9)
- Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
- Belmont / Valparaiso TV channel: ESPN+
The Belmont Bruins (9-14) visit Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Beacons (14-9) on Feb. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Valparaiso, IN.
Belmont is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Belmont vs. Valparaiso Over/Under is 153.5 total points.
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Belmont vs. Valparaiso Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Belmont | -6.5 -110 | O 153.5 -110 | -275 |
| Valparaiso | +6.5 -110 | U 153.5 -110 | +230 |
Belmont vs Valparaiso Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Belmont will win this college basketball game with 73.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Belmont vs Valparaiso Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Belmont will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.
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Belmont Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Belmont has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- Belmont has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- Belmont has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games (+1.60 Units / 3% ROI)
- Belmont has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- Belmont has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.25 Units / 8% ROI)
Valparaiso Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 29 games (+6.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- Valparaiso have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 15 games at home (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
Belmont Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Belmont has a 10-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.3 Units / -17% ROI).
- 13-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.5 Units / 16.67% ROI
- 9-14 when betting the Over for -6.4 Units / -25.3% ROI
- 14-9 when betting the Under for +4.1 Units / 16.21% ROI
Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Valparaiso has a 14-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.1 Units / 16.17% ROI).
- 5-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.45 Units / -36.66% ROI
- 11-12 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -8.64% ROI
- 12-11 when betting the Under for +0.05 Units / 0.2% ROI
Belmont Offensive Stats & Trends:
Belmont has averaged 7.1 offensive rebounds per game (163 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9
Belmont is shooting 37% from three (200/546) this season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Belmont is shooting 38% from three (507/1,337) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Belmont has an eFG% of 55% this season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has averaged 1.11 points per shot (1,552 points/1,395 shots) this season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Valparaiso has an eFG% of 46% this season — 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Valparaiso is shooting 41% (568/1,395) this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
Valparaiso has averaged 1.16 points per shot (3,758 points/3,248 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24
Belmont Defensive Stats & Trends:
Belmont has averaged 7.3 steals per game (404 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3
Belmont has allowed 78.5 points per game (1,805 points/23 games) this season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 70.2
Belmont has averaged 7.8 steals per game (179 steals/23 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2
Belmont has 404 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd most among Missouri Valley Teams
Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (612/1,349) this season — tied for 40th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Valparaiso has forced 12.4 turnovers per game (286 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.0
Valparaiso has allowed 73.1 points per game (1,682 points/23 games) this season — 2nd highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 70.2
Valparaiso has allowed 73.4 points per game (4,037 points/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 69.3
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