Cal Poly vs UC San Diego Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2024, 11:43 AM
  • UC San Diego (18-11) is a -17.5 point favorite vs Cal Poly (14-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Cal Poly / UC San Diego TV channel: ESPN+

The Cal Poly Mustangs (14-16) visit LionTree Arena to take on the UC San Diego Tritons (18-11) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in San Diego, CA.

UC San Diego is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-110).

The Cal Poly vs. UC San Diego Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

Bet now on UC San Diego vs Cal Poly & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Cal Poly vs. UC San Diego Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cal Poly+17.5 -110O 137.5 -105+1350
UC San Diego -17.5 -110U 137.5 -115-5000

Cal Poly vs UC San Diego Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UC San Diego will win this college basketball game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Cal Poly vs UC San Diego Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UC San Diego will cover the spread with 52.9% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on UC San Diego vs Cal Poly and all games with BetMGM


  • Cal Poly has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+2.80 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Cal Poly has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 18 away games (+0.85 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Cal Poly has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 18 away games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • UC San Diego has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • UC San Diego have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • UC San Diego has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+7.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • UC San Diego have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • UC San Diego has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.20 Units / 19% ROI)

Cal Poly Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Cal Poly has a 14-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.5 Units / -10.64% ROI).

  • 3-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.75 Units / -64.54% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -1.21% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting the Under for -2.35 Units / -7.15% ROI

UC San Diego Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UC San Diego has a 18-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.85 Units / 18.28% ROI).

  • 18-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -1.37% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Over for -3.55 Units / -11.11% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 2.2% ROI

Cal Poly Offensive Stats & Trends:

Cal Poly has averaged 62.7 points per game (1,504 points/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

Cal Poly has averaged 9.9 assists per game (238 assists/24 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Cal Poly has averaged 10.2 assists per game (579 assists/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Cal Poly has averaged 61.6 points per game (3,510 points/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 70.5

UC San Diego Offensive Stats & Trends:

UC San Diego has made 9.0 three-pointers per game this season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.4

UC San Diego has averaged 9.2 turnovers per game (211 turnovers/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 12.1

UC San Diego has averaged 7.2 offensive rebounds per game (384 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 8.8

UC San Diego has averaged 76.8 points per game (1,766 points/23 games) this season — 3rd best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 72.4

Cal Poly Defensive Stats & Trends:

Cal Poly has averaged 21.1 defensive rebounds per game (507 rebounds/24 games) this season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Cal Poly has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,254 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Cal Poly has averaged 21.1 defensive rebounds per game (507 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Cal Poly has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,254 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.8

UC San Diego Defensive Stats & Trends:

UC San Diego has averaged 6.5 steals per game (150 steals/23 games) this season — 5th lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.6

UC San Diego has averaged 6.1 steals per game (324 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.3

UC San Diego has averaged 23.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,237 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.8

UC San Diego has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (402/1,120) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big West Teams ; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.