- The New Mexico is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Air Force
- The Air Force vs. New Mexico Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
- TV Channel: truTV
The Air Force Falcons (1-4) visit University Stadium to take on the New Mexico Lobos (1-4) on Oct. 12 in Albuquerque, NM. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
New Mexico is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Air Force vs. New Mexico Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
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Air Force vs. New Mexico Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Air Force | +6.5 -110 | 54.5 -115 | +200 |
| New Mexico | -6.5 -110 | 54.5 -105 | -250 |
Air Force vs New Mexico Prediction:
The winning team model predicts New Mexico will win this game with 62.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Air Force and New Mexico, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Air Force vs New Mexico Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 58.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on New Mexico vs Air Force and all games with BetMGM
Air Force Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Air Force has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.05 Units / 88% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
New Mexico Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 11 games (+5.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- New Mexico have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.65 Units / 32% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for New Mexico players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best New Mexico Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Devon Dampier has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Devon Dampier has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Air Force Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Air Force is 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.3 Units / -75% ROI).
- Air Force is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -57.14% ROI
- Air Force is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -75% ROI
- Air Force is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 68.18% ROI
New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 34.55% ROI).
- New Mexico is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -27.03% ROI
- New Mexico is 4-0 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 72.73% ROI
- New Mexico is 0-4 when betting the Under for -4.4 Units / -80% ROI
Air Force: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico
Air Force is winless (0-6) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .390
Air Force is winless (0-6) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .322
Air Force is 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .547
Air Force is winless (0-6) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .382
New Mexico: Keys to the Game vs. Air Force
New Mexico is winless (0-6) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .422
New Mexico is 4-12 (.250) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: .420
New Mexico is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .366
New Mexico is 3-9 (.250) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .485
Matchup Notes for Air Force vs. New Mexico
New Mexico’s RBs has averaged 6.2 targets per game this season — T-18th-highest among FBS RBs. Air Force’s defense has allowed 4.2 receptions per game to RBs this season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico’s WRs has averaged 14.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-33rd-best among FBS WRs. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 11.2 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico’s WRs have 214.2 receiving yards per game this season — 28th-best among FBS WRs. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 101.6 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.
Air Force has averaged 18.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — best among FBS skill players. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 14.1 RAC since the 2023 season — worst among NonP5 defenses.
Air Force’s WRs has 60 receptions in 18 games (just 3.3 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among FBS WRs. New Mexico’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Air Force’s WRs has averaged 21.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — best among FBS WRs. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 14.1 RAC since the 2023 season — worst among NonP5 defenses.
Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends
Air Force Skill Players have averaged just 4.4 receptions per game (79/18) since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9
Air Force Skill Players have averaged just 5.2 receptions per game (26/5) this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9
Air Force Skill Players have averaged 18.8 yards per reception (1,489 yards/79 catches) since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1
Air Force WRs have averaged 21.6 yards per reception (1,320 yards/61 catches) since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3
Air Force has averaged 18.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — best among FBS skill players. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 14.1 RAC since the 2023 season — worst among NonP5 defenses.
New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico QBs have 20 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
New Mexico QBs have 8 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– most among FBS Teams
New Mexico’s RBs has averaged 6.2 targets per game this season — T-18th-highest among FBS RBs. Air Force’s defense has allowed 4.2 receptions per game to RBs this season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico RBs have 5 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams
New Mexico’s WRs has averaged 14.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-33rd-best among FBS WRs. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 11.2 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.
Air Force Falcons Defensive Stats & Trends
Air Force has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 12 of 65 attempts (18%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 9%
Air Force allowed passes of 20+ yards on 5 of 15 attempts (33%) last week– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: 10%
Air Force has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 4 of 17 attempts (23%) on 3rd and long this season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%
Air Force allowed passes of 20+ yards on 5 of 15 attempts (33%) last week– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%
Air Force has intercepted one of 124 attempts this season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.4
New Mexico Lobos Defensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico has intercepted one of 151 attempts this season– T-3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 36.4
New Mexico has allowed 9 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most in FBS
New Mexico has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 23 of 464 attempts (5%) since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 2%
New Mexico has allowed 7.4 touchdowns per interception (37 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
New Mexico has allowed 9 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
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