- The Alabama is a -3 point favorite vs. Tennessee
- The Alabama vs. Tennessee Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC
The Alabama Crimson Tide (5-1) visit Neyland Stadium to take on the Tennessee Volunteers (5-1) on Oct. 19 in Knoxville, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Alabama is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Alabama vs. Tennessee Over/Under is 56.5 total points.
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Alabama vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Alabama | -3 -110 | 56.5 -110 | -160 |
| Tennessee | +3 -110 | 56.5 -110 | +130 |
Alabama vs Tennessee Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 57.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Alabama and Tennessee, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Alabama vs Tennessee Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tennessee will cover the spread with 60.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Alabama Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- Alabama have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Tennessee Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tennessee have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 0% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.55 Units / 8% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Alabama players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Alabama Player Prop Bets Today
- Justice Haynes has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jalen Milroe has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Ryan Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jalen Milroe has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Jalen Milroe has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Tennessee players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tennessee Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Bru McCoy has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Squirrel White has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Dylan Sampson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Nico Iamaleava has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Nico Iamaleava has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 54% ROI)
Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Alabama is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Alabama is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.95 Units / -4.33% ROI
- Alabama is 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
- Alabama is 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI
Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Tennessee is 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Tennessee is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -0.15% ROI
- Tennessee is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Tennessee is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Tennessee
Alabama is undefeated (13-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .623
Alabama is undefeated (12-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .730
Alabama is 11-1 (.917) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: .601
Alabama is 10-2 (.833) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .598
Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. Alabama
Tennessee is undefeated (13-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .757
Tennessee is 9-5 (.643) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .451
Tennessee is 9-2 (.818) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .680
Tennessee is 14-4 (.778) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .633
Matchup Notes for Alabama vs. Tennessee
Alabama’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.8% of 146 attempts this season — 10th-best among FBS offenses. Tennessee’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends
Alabama WRs have averaged 51.8 yards per reception (207 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.2
Alabama WRs have averaged 51.8 yards per reception (207 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 17.6
Alabama WRs have averaged 31.9 yards per reception (701 yards/22 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.5
Alabama Skill Players have averaged 22.9 yards per reception (872 yards/38 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9
Alabama QBs have 23 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends
Tennessee WRs have averaged 35.3 yards per reception (106 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.2
Tennessee WRs averaged a touchdown every 4.3 receptions (13 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 1.9
Tennessee RBs have rushed for 6 TDs in the 1st quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Tennessee RBs have averaged 217.8 rushing yards per game (1,307/6) this season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 128.9
Tennessee WRs have averaged a touchdown every 3.4 receptions (17 Rec/5 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 1.9
Alabama Crimson Tide Defensive Stats & Trends
Alabama opponents has averaged just 2.8 Passing Attempts per TD (11 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 5.0
Alabama has sacked opposing QBs on just 7% of pass attempts (14/210) this season– T-2nd-worst in the SEC; Average: 8%
Alabama has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 38 attempts (3%) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-worst in the SEC; Average: 9%
Alabama has allowed first downs on 22% of pass attempts on 3rd down this season– best in the SEC; Average: 32%
Alabama had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 38.8
Tennessee Volunteers Defensive Stats & Trends
Tennessee opponents has averaged 52.7 Passing Attempts per TD (158 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 21.5
Tennessee opponents has averaged 52.7 Passing Attempts per TD (158 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 23.4
Tennessee has allowed 3 touchdowns on 96 completions (32.0 Completions Per TD) this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 13.1
Tennessee has allowed 3 touchdowns on 96 completions (32.0 Completions Per TD) this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.1
Tennessee has tackled opponents for a loss on 146 of 676 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) since the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 17%.
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