- The Marshall is a -3 point favorite vs. Appalachian State
- The Appalachian State vs. Marshall Total (Over/Under): 58.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The Appalachian State Mountaineers (2-2) visit Joan C. Edwards Stadium to take on the Marshall Thundering Herd (2-2) on Oct. 5 in Huntington, WV. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Marshall is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Appalachian State vs. Marshall Over/Under is 58.5 total points.
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Appalachian State vs. Marshall Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Appalachian State | +3 -110 | 58.5 -110 | +125 |
| Marshall | -3 -110 | 58.5 -110 | -150 |
Appalachian State vs Marshall Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Marshall will win this game with 57.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Appalachian State and Marshall, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Appalachian State vs Marshall Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Marshall will cover the spread with 59.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Appalachian State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Appalachian State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Appalachian State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Appalachian State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- Appalachian State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+1.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- Appalachian State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+1.15 Units / 16% ROI)
Marshall Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Marshall have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.15 Units / 88% ROI)
- Marshall has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.45 Units / 76% ROI)
- Marshall have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Marshall has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Marshall has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.05 Units / 18% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Appalachian State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Appalachian State Player Prop Bets Today
- Joey Aguilar has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.05 Units / 102% ROI)
- Kaedin Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Eli Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Joey Aguilar has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kanye Roberts has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Appalachian State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Appalachian State is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).
- Appalachian State is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -59.62% ROI
- Appalachian State is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Appalachian State is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
Marshall Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Marshall is 4-0 against the spread this college football season (+4 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Marshall is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Marshall is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Marshall is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
Appalachian State: Keys to the Game vs. Marshall
Appalachian State is 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .588
Appalachian State is 9-4 (.692) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .455
Appalachian State is 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: .633
Appalachian State is 8-1 (.889) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .682
Marshall: Keys to the Game vs. Appalachian State
Marshall is 4-9 (.308) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .420
Marshall is 4-1 (.800) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-8th-best in FBS; Average: .506
Marshall is 3-8 (.273) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .440
Marshall is 7-3 (.700) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– 10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572
Matchup Notes for Appalachian State vs. Marshall
Marshall’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.5% of 120 attempts this season — 22nd-worst among FBS offenses. Appalachian State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.8% of attempts this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Marshall’s offense has thrown for 737 passing yards in 4 games (just 184.2 YPG) this season — 33rd-worst among FBS offenses. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed 240.5 passing yards per game this season — 35th-worst among FBS defenses.
Marshall’s RBs has rushed for 2,081 yards on 386 carries (5.4 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-35th-best among FBS RBs. Appalachian State’s defense have allowed 5.2 YPC since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State’s offense has thrown for 1,230 passing yards in 4 games (307.5 YPG) this season — 15th-best among FBS offenses. Marshall’s defense has allowed just 175.8 passing yards per game this season — 33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State Offensive Stats & Trends
Appalachian State’s offense has thrown for 1,230 passing yards in 4 games (307.5 YPG) this season — 15th-best among FBS offenses. Marshall’s defense has allowed just 175.8 passing yards per game this season — 33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State RBs have 6 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams
Appalachian State RBs have no touchdowns on 56 receptions since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.5
Appalachian State WRs have averaged 15.0 receptions per game (60/4) this season– T-31st-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.7
Appalachian State Skill Players have averaged 21.9 receptions per game (394/18) since the 2023 season– T-29th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9
Marshall Offensive Stats & Trends
Marshall’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.5% of 120 attempts this season — 22nd-worst among FBS offenses. Appalachian State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.8% of attempts this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Marshall’s offense has thrown for 737 passing yards in 4 games (just 184.2 YPG) this season — 33rd-worst among FBS offenses. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed 240.5 passing yards per game this season — 35th-worst among FBS defenses.
Marshall’s RBs has rushed for 2,081 yards on 386 carries (5.4 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-35th-best among FBS RBs. Appalachian State’s defense have allowed 5.2 YPC since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.
Marshall’s RBs has rushed for 2,081 yards on 386 carries (5.4 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-35th-best among FBS RBs. Appalachian State’s defense have allowed 6.0 YPC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Marshall QBs have fumbled 7 times in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 5th-most among FBS Teams
Appalachian State Mountaineers Defensive Stats & Trends
Appalachian State has allowed 9.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (169 yards / 17 touches) on 3rd and short this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.0
Appalachian State has averaged a sack every 5.0 pass attempts (10 Pass Attempts/2 Sacks) in the Red Zone this season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.7
Appalachian State has allowed 9.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (169 yards / 17 touches) on 3rd and short this season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: 5.2
Appalachian State has allowed 11.9 Yards per Attempt (143 yards/12 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 6.8
Appalachian State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 16 of 147 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) this season– 15th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Marshall Thundering Herd Defensive Stats & Trends
Marshall sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Marshall tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 41 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) last week– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Marshall has averaged a sack every 6.8 pass attempts (54 Pass Attempts/8 Sacks) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 15.0
Marshall has tackled opponents for a loss on 18 of 89 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 20th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Marshall has sacked opposing QBs on 8% of pass attempts (42/530) since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: 7%
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