- The UL Lafayette is a -10.5 point favorite vs. Appalachian State
- The Appalachian State vs. Louisiana Total (Over/Under): 64.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The Appalachian State Mountaineers (2-3) visit Cajun Field to take on the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (4-1) on Oct. 12 in Lafayette, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
UL Lafayette is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The Appalachian State vs. Louisiana Over/Under is 64.5 total points.
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Appalachian State vs. Louisiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Appalachian State | +10.5 -110 | 64.5 -105 | +280 |
| Louisiana | -10.5 -110 | 64.5 -115 | -375 |
Appalachian State vs Louisiana Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Louisiana will win this game with 77.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Appalachian State and UL Lafayette, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Appalachian State vs Louisiana Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisiana will cover the spread with 65.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Appalachian State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Appalachian State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Appalachian State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Appalachian State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- Appalachian State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+1.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- Appalachian State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+1.15 Units / 16% ROI)
Louisiana Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Louisiana have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- Louisiana have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- Louisiana has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 1 of their last 3 games at home (+1.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- Louisiana have covered the 1Q Spread in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+0.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Louisiana has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Appalachian State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Appalachian State Player Prop Bets Today
- Joey Aguilar has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.05 Units / 102% ROI)
- Kaedin Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Eli Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Joey Aguilar has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kanye Roberts has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Louisiana players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Louisiana Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Chandler Fields has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jacob Bernard has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Robert Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Chandler Fields has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Appalachian State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Appalachian State is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).
- Appalachian State is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -59.62% ROI
- Appalachian State is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Appalachian State is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
Louisiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UL Lafayette is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.85 Units / 19.1% ROI).
- Louisiana is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 26.95% ROI
- Louisiana is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI
- Louisiana is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI
Appalachian State: Keys to the Game vs. Louisiana
Appalachian State is 10-4 (.714) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .554
Appalachian State is 10-4 (.714) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .616
Appalachian State is 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: .632
Appalachian State is 8-1 (.889) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .611
Louisiana: Keys to the Game vs. Appalachian State
Louisiana is 7-2 (.778) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– 13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .611
Louisiana is 8-5 (.615) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .465
Louisiana is 7-4 (.636) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .457
Louisiana is 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .554
Matchup Notes for Appalachian State vs. Louisiana
Louisiana’s RBs has averaged just 6.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-14th-worst among FBS RBs. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 RAC since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Louisiana’s RBs has rushed for 2,577 yards on 463 carries (5.6 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-18th-best among FBS RBs. Appalachian State’s defense have allowed 5.2 YPC since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.
Louisiana’s TEs has 97 receptions in 18 games (5.4 per game) since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among FBS TEs. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed just 2.6 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State’s QBs has thrown for 1,523 passing yards in 5 games (304.6 YPG) this season — 13th-best among FBS teams. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 147.2 passing yards per game this season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State’s offense has thrown for 5,353 passing yards in 19 games (281.7 YPG) since the 2023 season — 20th-best among FBS offenses. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 196.2 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State’s WRs has gained 1,197 yards on 80 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 9.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State Offensive Stats & Trends
Appalachian State’s QBs has thrown for 1,523 passing yards in 5 games (304.6 YPG) this season — 13th-best among FBS teams. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 147.2 passing yards per game this season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State’s offense has thrown for 5,353 passing yards in 19 games (281.7 YPG) since the 2023 season — 20th-best among FBS offenses. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 196.2 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State’s WRs has gained 1,197 yards on 80 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 9.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State’s WRs has gained 1,197 yards on 80 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State’s offense has thrown for 1,523 passing yards in 5 games (304.6 YPG) this season — 13th-best among FBS offenses. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 147.2 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Louisiana Offensive Stats & Trends
Louisiana’s RBs has averaged just 6.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-14th-worst among FBS RBs. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 RAC since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Louisiana’s RBs has rushed for 2,577 yards on 463 carries (5.6 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-18th-best among FBS RBs. Appalachian State’s defense have allowed 5.2 YPC since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.
Louisiana’s TEs has 97 receptions in 18 games (5.4 per game) since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among FBS TEs. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed just 2.6 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Louisiana’s RBs has averaged just 6.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-14th-worst among FBS RBs. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 RAC since the 2023 season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.
Louisiana TEs had 6 receptions in the 1st half last week– T-most among FBS Teams
Appalachian State Mountaineers Defensive Stats & Trends
Appalachian State has one interception and 11 TD passes allowed this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7
Appalachian State has one interception and 11 TD passes allowed this season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1
Appalachian State has intercepted one of 124 attempts this season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.4
Appalachian State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 3 of 14 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long this season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%
Appalachian State opponents has averaged just 11.3 Passing Attempts per TD (124 Pass Attempts/11 Passing TDs) this season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.7
Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Defensive Stats & Trends
Louisiana opponents has averaged 57.0 Passing Attempts per TD (114 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.7
Louisiana sacked opposing QBs on 24% of pass attempts (5/21) last week– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 6%
Louisiana has allowed 2 touchdowns on 81 completions (40.5 Completions Per TD) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.2
Louisiana has allowed a Completion Pct of 89% (16 completions/18 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%
Louisiana has allowed opponents to catch 16 of 18 passes (89% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 57%
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