- Kansas State is a -7 point favorite vs. Arizona
- Arizona vs. Kansas State Total(Over/Under): 58.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
The Arizona Wildcats (2-0) visit Bill Snyder Family Stadium to take on the Kansas State Wildcats (2-0) on Sep. 13 in Manhattan, KS. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.
Kansas State is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -7 (-115).
The Arizona vs. Kansas State Over/Under is 58.5 total points.
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Arizona vs. Kansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Arizona | +7 -105 | 58.5 -115 | +230 |
| Kansas State | -7 -115 | 58.5 -105 | -275 |
Arizona vs Kansas State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Kansas State will win this game with 69.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Arizona vs Kansas State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas State will cover the spread with 59.8% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Arizona and Kansas State and key player performances this season.
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Arizona Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arizona has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+9.95 Units / 2% ROI)
- Arizona have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+5.35 Units / 57% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.85 Units / 30% ROI)
Kansas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- Kansas State have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- Kansas State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.05 Units / 57% ROI)
- Kansas State have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 37% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Arizona players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Arizona Player Prop Bets Today
- Tetairoa McMillan has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Noah Fifita has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Noah Fifita has hit the TD Passes Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 33% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Kansas State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Kansas State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- DJ Giddens has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Jadon Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- DJ Giddens has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Jayce Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Avery Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Arizona Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arizona is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Arizona is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 0.2% ROI
- Arizona is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Arizona is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kansas State is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Kansas State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 28.99% ROI
- Kansas State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.15 Units / -6.67% ROI
- Kansas State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.65% ROI
Arizona: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas State
Arizona is undefeated (5-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .585
Arizona is 7-1 (.875) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .438
Arizona is 8-1 (.727) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .497
Arizona is 4-2 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .390
Kansas State: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona
Kansas State is 8-3 (.615) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 25th-best in FBS; Average: .438
Kansas State is undefeated (6-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .585
Kansas State is 9-3 (.643) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .517
Kansas State is 5-4 (.556) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .390
Matchup Notes for Arizona vs. Kansas State
Kansas State has gained 347 yards on 31 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 skill players. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas State’s WRs has just 0.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-worst among Big 12 WRs. Arizona’s defense has allowed 2.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas State’s WRs has 15 receptions in 2 games (just 7.5 per game) this season — T-3rd-worst among Big 12 WRs. Arizona’s defense has allowed 19.5 receptions per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.8% of 57 attempts this season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Kansas State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 19.6% of attempts this season — best among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona has gained 595 yards on 37 receptions (16.1 YPR) this season — 16th-best among FBS skill players. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 15.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 11th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona’s WRs has gained 426 yards on 21 receptions (20.3 YPR) this season — best among Big 12 WRs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 18.9 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends
Arizona Skill Players have averaged 38.7 yards per reception (116 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.6
Arizona RBs have 13 receptions for 20 or more yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Arizona’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.8% of 57 attempts this season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Kansas State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 19.6% of attempts this season — best among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona has gained 595 yards on 37 receptions (16.1 YPR) this season — 16th-best among FBS skill players. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 15.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 11th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona’s WRs has gained 426 yards on 21 receptions (20.3 YPR) this season — best among Big 12 WRs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 18.9 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends
Kansas State WRs have no touchdowns on 15 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.3
Kansas State WRs have no touchdowns on 15 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.6
Kansas State TEs have caught 10 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams
Kansas State TEs have caught 10 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Kansas State RBs have 23 receptions for 20 or more yards since the 2022 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Arizona Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Arizona has allowed 41.9 receiving yards per game (629/15) to RBs since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 23.8
Arizona has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 36 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: 12%.
Arizona has tackled opponents for a loss on just 9 of 69 rushing attempts (13% TFL%) this season– 2nd-worst in the Big 12; Average: 17%.
Arizona has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 74 attempts (14%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%
Arizona has averaged 2.5 sacks per game since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in the Big 12; Average: 2.0
Kansas State Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Kansas State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 32% (15 completions/47 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 53%
Kansas State has forced 5 fumbles this season– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams
Kansas State has forced 5 fumbles this season– most in the Big 12
Kansas State has allowed 2.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (137 yards / 62 touches) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 3.7
Kansas State opponents has averaged 7.8 Passing Attempts per TD (47 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: 3.9
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