- UL Lafayette is a -16.5 point favorite vs. Arkansas St
- Arkansas State vs. Louisiana Total (Over/Under): 60.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The Arkansas State Red Wolves (5-3) visit Cajun Field to take on the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (7-1) on Nov. 9 in Lafayette, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EST.
UL Lafayette is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-110).
The Arkansas State vs. Louisiana Over/Under is 60.5 total points.
Bet now on UL Lafayette vs Arkansas St & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Arkansas State vs. Louisiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Arkansas State | +16.5 -110 | 60.5 -110 | +525 |
| Louisiana | -16.5 -110 | 60.5 -110 | -750 |
Arkansas State vs Louisiana Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Louisiana will win this game with 84.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Arkansas St and UL Lafayette, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Arkansas State vs Louisiana Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisiana will cover the spread with 66.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on UL Lafayette vs Arkansas St and all games with BetMGM
Arkansas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arkansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
Louisiana Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Louisiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- Louisiana has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Louisiana has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Louisiana has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Louisiana have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.85 Units / 28% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Arkansas State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Arkansas State Player Prop Bets Today
- no trends found
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Louisiana players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Louisiana Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Ben Wooldridge has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Ben Wooldridge has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Lance LeGendre has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Harvey Broussard has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jacob Bernard has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Arkansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arkansas St is 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).
- Arkansas State is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 11.72% ROI
- Arkansas State is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Arkansas State is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
Louisiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UL Lafayette is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.35 Units / -4% ROI).
- Louisiana is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.9 Units / 25% ROI
- Louisiana is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- Louisiana is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
Arkansas State: Keys to the Game vs. Louisiana
Arkansas State is undefeated (10-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .710
Arkansas State is 10-1 (.909) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .622
Arkansas State is 8-2 (.800) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .602
Arkansas State is 7-2 (.778) when not throwing an interception since the 2023 season– T-15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .665
Louisiana: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas State
Louisiana is 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .551
Louisiana is 7-1 (.875) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .517
Louisiana is 9-2 (.818) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .621
Louisiana is 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: .609
Matchup Notes for Arkansas State vs. Louisiana
Louisiana’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.6% of 238 attempts this season — 27th-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.0% of attempts this season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Louisiana’s RBs has rushed for 2,996 yards on 547 carries (5.5 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS RBs. Arkansas State’s defense have allowed 5.0 YPC since the 2023 season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.
Louisiana’s RBs has averaged just 6.4 yards after the catch this season — T-29th-worst among FBS RBs. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 9.4 RAC to RBs this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State’s WRs has averaged 15.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 12th-best among FBS WRs. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 11.7 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State has gained 2,005 yards on 180 receptions (just 11.1 YPR) this season — T-27th-worst among FBS skill players. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Arkansas State’s WRs has averaged 15.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 12th-best among FBS WRs. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas State’s WRs has averaged 15.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 12th-best among FBS WRs. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 11.7 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State has gained 2,005 yards on 180 receptions (just 11.1 YPR) this season — T-27th-worst among FBS skill players. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Arkansas State’s WRs has averaged 15.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 12th-best among FBS WRs. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State’s TEs has gained 435 yards on 60 receptions (just 7.2 YPR) since the 2023 season — worst among FBS TEs. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State has gained 2,005 yards on 180 receptions (just 11.1 YPR) this season — T-27th-worst among FBS skill players. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Louisiana Offensive Stats & Trends
Louisiana TEs have averaged 26.0 yards per reception (78 yards/3 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.6
Louisiana’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.6% of 238 attempts this season — 27th-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.0% of attempts this season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Louisiana’s RBs has rushed for 2,996 yards on 547 carries (5.5 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS RBs. Arkansas State’s defense have allowed 5.0 YPC since the 2023 season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.
Louisiana’s RBs has averaged just 6.4 yards after the catch this season — T-29th-worst among FBS RBs. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 9.4 RAC to RBs this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Louisiana’s RBs has averaged just 6.4 yards after the catch this season — T-29th-worst among FBS RBs. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 13.0 RAC this season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State Red Wolves Defensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas State has allowed a Completion Pct of 69% (61 completions/88 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 54%
Arkansas State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (9 completions/23 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 62%
Arkansas State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (9 completions/23 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%
Arkansas State has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 7 of 16 carries (44%) on 3rd and long this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 18%
Arkansas State allowed opponents to catch 44 of 57 passes (77% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%
Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Defensive Stats & Trends
Louisiana has allowed a Completion Pct of 78% (25 completions/32 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– worst in FBS; Average: 54%
Louisiana has allowed a Completion Pct of 78% (25 completions/32 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
Louisiana has allowed opponents to catch 25 of 31 passes (81% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%
Louisiana allowed 11 TD passes in close and late situations in the 2023 season– most in FBS
Louisiana has allowed opponents to catch 25 of 31 passes (81% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– worst in FBS; Average: 55%
Bet now on UL Lafayette vs Arkansas St and all games with BetMGM
More College Football Betting at BetMGM
BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!
