- Buffalo U is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Akron
- Buffalo vs. Akron Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSSN
The Buffalo Bulls (4-4) visit InfoCision Stadium-Summa Field to take on the Akron Zips (2-6) on Nov. 2 in Akron, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Buffalo U is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
Buffalo vs. Akron Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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Buffalo vs. Akron Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Buffalo | -1.5 -110 | 47.5 -105 | -115 |
| Akron | +1.5 -110 | 47.5 -115 | -105 |
Buffalo vs Akron Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Buffalo will win this game with 54.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Buffalo U and Akron, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Buffalo vs Akron Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Akron will cover the spread with 73.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Buffalo Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Buffalo has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- Buffalo have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.25 Units / 10% ROI)
Akron Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Akron has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- Akron has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+3.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- Akron have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- Akron have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Akron has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+1.90 Units / 20% ROI)
Buffalo Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Buffalo U is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Buffalo is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.1 Units / 53.95% ROI
- Buffalo is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 7.95% ROI
- Buffalo is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -15.91% ROI
Akron Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Akron is 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).
- Akron is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -29.23% ROI
- Akron is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
- Akron is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
Buffalo: Keys to the Game vs. Akron
Buffalo is undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .619
Buffalo is undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .650
Buffalo is 6-2 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .590
Buffalo is 2-12 (.143) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-15th-worst in FBS; Average: .383
Akron: Keys to the Game vs. Buffalo
Akron is 1-15 (.059) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .432
Akron is 1-13 (.067) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .467
Akron is 1-10 (.091) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .419
Akron is 1-13 (.067) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: .538
Matchup Notes for Buffalo vs. Akron
Akron’s RBs has averaged 5.8 targets per game this season — T-20th-highest among FBS RBs. Buffalo’s defense has allowed 4.4 receptions per game to RBs this season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.
Akron has gained 1,675 yards on 157 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) this season — 16th-worst among FBS skill players. Buffalo’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Akron’s RBs have 36.0 receiving yards per game this season — 23rd-best among FBS RBs. Buffalo’s defense has allowed 240.1 receiving yards per game this season — 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Buffalo’s offense has thrown for 1,358 passing yards in 8 games (just 169.8 YPG) this season — 14th-worst among FBS offenses. Akron’s defense has allowed 239.2 passing yards per game this season — 35th-worst among FBS defenses.
Buffalo’s QBs has thrown for 1,358 passing yards in 8 games (just 169.8 YPG) this season — 14th-worst among FBS teams. Akron’s defense has allowed 239.2 passing yards per game this season — 35th-worst among FBS defenses.
Buffalo has just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-17th-worst among FBS skill players. Akron’s defense has allowed 2.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends
Buffalo’s offense has thrown for 1,358 passing yards in 8 games (just 169.8 YPG) this season — 14th-worst among FBS offenses. Akron’s defense has allowed 239.2 passing yards per game this season — 35th-worst among FBS defenses.
Buffalo’s QBs has thrown for 1,358 passing yards in 8 games (just 169.8 YPG) this season — 14th-worst among FBS teams. Akron’s defense has allowed 239.2 passing yards per game this season — 35th-worst among FBS defenses.
Buffalo has just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-17th-worst among FBS skill players. Akron’s defense has allowed 2.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Buffalo TEs have averaged just 0.8 receptions per game (6/8) this season– T-3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 3.4
Buffalo have just 169.8 receiving yards per game this season — 15th-worst among FBS skill players. Akron’s defense has allowed 239.2 receiving yards per game this season — 35th-worst among FBS defenses.
Akron Offensive Stats & Trends
Akron WRs have averaged a touchdown every 25.4 receptions (254 Rec/10 TDs) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.0
Akron’s RBs has averaged 5.8 targets per game this season — T-20th-highest among FBS RBs. Buffalo’s defense has allowed 4.4 receptions per game to RBs this season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.
Akron Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 23.0 receptions (414 Rec/18 TDs) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.6
Akron has gained 1,675 yards on 157 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) this season — 16th-worst among FBS skill players. Buffalo’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Akron WRs averaged a touchdown every 33.8 receptions (169 Rec/5 TDs) in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9
Buffalo Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends
Buffalo tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 41 rushing attempts (2% TFL%) last week– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.
Buffalo has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 16 of 107 attempts (15%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 9%
Buffalo tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 41 rushing attempts (2% TFL%) last week– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
Buffalo allowed 12.2 Yards per Attempt (231 yards/19 attempts) last week– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7.2
Buffalo has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 16 of 107 attempts (15%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%
Akron Zips Defensive Stats & Trends
Akron has allowed 8.0 touchdowns per interception (16 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7
Akron has intercepted 2 of 233 attempts (116.5 pass attempts per int.) this season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 35.6
Akron has no interceptions and 21 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.9
Akron has allowed 4.4 touchdowns per interception (35 TDs allowed, and 8 INT) since the 2023 season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
Akron did not record a sack (48 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.6
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