- TCU is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Central Florida
- UCF vs. TCU Total(Over/Under): 61.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
The UCF Knights (2-0) visit Amon G. Carter Stadium to take on the TCU Horned Frogs (2-0) on Sep. 14 in Fort Worth, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
TCU is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The UCF vs. TCU Over/Under is 61.5 total points.
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UCF vs. TCU Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UCF | +1.5 -110 | 61.5 -110 | +100 |
| TCU | -1.5 -110 | 61.5 -110 | -120 |
UCF vs TCU Prediction:
The winning team model predicts TCU will win this game with 54.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Central Florida and TCU, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UCF vs TCU Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts TCU will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on TCU vs Central Florida and all games with BetMGM
UCF Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UCF has hit the Game Total Under in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- UCF have covered the 1H Spread in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+3.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- UCF have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- UCF has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.10 Units / 16% ROI)
TCU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- TCU has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- TCU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- TCU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- TCU have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.75 Units / 38% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UCF players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best UCF Player Prop Bets Today
- RJ Harvey has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- Kobe Hudson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- RJ Harvey has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Johnny Richardson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Xavier Townsend has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for TCU players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best TCU Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Josh Hoover has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Josh Hoover has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games (+3.10 Units / 67% ROI)
- Savion Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.05 Units / 105% ROI)
- JP Richardson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Drake Dabney has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
UCF Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Central Florida is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- UCF is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 7.12% ROI
- UCF is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 93.02% ROI
- UCF is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.25 Units / -100% ROI
TCU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
TCU is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- TCU is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 33.33% ROI
- TCU is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- TCU is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
UCF: Keys to the Game vs. TCU
UCF is winless (0-3) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .371
UCF is 2-6 (.250) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 14th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .508
UCF is 2-7 (.222) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .358
UCF is 6-7 (.400) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-40th-worst in FBS; Average: .517
TCU: Keys to the Game vs. UCF
TCU is 16-8 (.615) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2022 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .495
TCU is 7-3 (.700) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2022 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .567
TCU is 2-7 (.222) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .425
TCU is 14-6 (.609) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– T-9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .415
Matchup Notes for UCF vs. TCU
TCU’s RBs has 2 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-15th-best among FBS RBs. UCF’s defense has allowed just 0.0 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-best among Big 12 defenses.
TCU’s RBs has rushed for 218 yards on 56 carries (just 3.9 YPC) this season — T-34th-worst among FBS RBs. UCF’s defense have allowed just 2.3 YPC this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
TCU’s RBs has rushed for 218 yards on 56 carries (just 3.9 YPC) this season — T-34th-worst among FBS RBs. UCF’s defense have allowed just 2.3 YPC this season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
UCF has gained 355 yards on 25 receptions (14.2 YPR) this season — 31st-best among FBS skill players. TCU’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.
UCF’s TEs has gained 63 yards on 5 receptions (12.6 YPR) this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 TEs. TCU’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
UCF’s offense has thrown for 355 passing yards in 2 games (just 177.5 YPG) this season — 33rd-worst among FBS offenses. TCU’s defense has allowed just 116.5 passing yards per game this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
UCF Offensive Stats & Trends
UCF WRs have no touchdowns on 16 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.3
UCF has gained 355 yards on 25 receptions (14.2 YPR) this season — 31st-best among FBS skill players. TCU’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.
UCF’s TEs has gained 63 yards on 5 receptions (12.6 YPR) this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 TEs. TCU’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
UCF’s offense has thrown for 355 passing yards in 2 games (just 177.5 YPG) this season — 33rd-worst among FBS offenses. TCU’s defense has allowed just 116.5 passing yards per game this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
UCF WRs have no touchdowns on 16 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.6
TCU Offensive Stats & Trends
TCU WRs have averaged 22.5 receptions per game (45/2) this season– T-3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.8
TCU WRs have 7 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams
TCU WRs have averaged 22.5 receptions per game (45/2) this season– T-best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.1
TCU Skill Players have averaged just 10.5 yards per reception (1,064 yards/101 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.6
TCU WRs have been targeted 10 times in the Red Zone this season– most among Big 12 Teams
UCF Knights Defensive Stats & Trends
UCF has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 2 of 62 attempts (3%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 11%
UCF has averaged 2.00 interceptions per game (4/2) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 0.78
UCF has 4 interceptions this season– most in the Big 12
UCF opponents has averaged 6.4 Passing Attempts per TD (103 Pass Attempts/16 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0
UCF opponents has averaged 6.4 Passing Attempts per TD (103 Pass Attempts/16 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 4.2
TCU Horned Frogs Defensive Stats & Trends
TCU has forced 13 fumbles on 1,060 carries (81.5 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2022 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 40.8
TCU has forced 13 fumbles on 1,060 carries (81.5 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2022 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 41.2
TCU has allowed opponents to catch just 27 of 58 passes (47% Reception Pct) this season– 2nd-best in the Big 12; Average: 58%
TCU has sacked opponents 4 times on 1st down this season– T-2nd-most in FBS
TCU has allowed 39.5 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 119.7
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