- The Navy is a -17 point favorite vs. Charlotte
- The Charlotte vs. Navy Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSSN
The Charlotte 49ers (3-3) visit Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium to take on the Navy Midshipmen (5-0) on Oct. 19 in Annapolis, MD. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Navy is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -17 (-105).
The Charlotte vs. Navy Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
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Charlotte vs. Navy Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Charlotte | +17 -115 | 54.5 -110 | +550 |
| Navy | -17 -105 | 54.5 -110 | -800 |
Charlotte vs Navy Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Navy will win this game with 88.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Charlotte and Navy, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Charlotte vs Navy Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Navy will cover the spread with 85.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Charlotte Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Charlotte has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Charlotte has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+2.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Charlotte has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Charlotte have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Charlotte has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.90 Units / 13% ROI)
Navy Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Navy have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.05 Units / 53% ROI)
- Navy has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Navy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+3.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- Navy has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+3.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- Navy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.75 Units / 36% ROI)
Charlotte Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Charlotte is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.35 Units / -5.22% ROI).
- Charlotte is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 20.43% ROI
- Charlotte is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Charlotte is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
Navy Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Navy is 4-1 against the spread this college football season (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).
- Navy is 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.75 Units / 47.72% ROI
- Navy is 5-0 when betting the Over for +5 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Navy is 0-5 when betting the Under for -5.5 Units / -100% ROI
Charlotte: Keys to the Game vs. Navy
Charlotte is 4-9 (.308) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .627
Charlotte is 3-10 (.231) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-15th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .346
Charlotte is 3-10 (.231) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .383
Charlotte is 3-11 (.214) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 14th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .368
Navy: Keys to the Game vs. Charlotte
Navy is 8-3 (.727) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .601
Navy is 7-2 (.778) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .596
Navy is 10-3 (.769) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .611
Navy is 8-5 (.571) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .397
Matchup Notes for Charlotte vs. Navy
Navy’s offense has thrown for 849 passing yards in 5 games (just 169.8 YPG) this season — 15th-worst among FBS offenses. Charlotte’s defense has allowed 252.8 passing yards per game this season — 28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Navy’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 27.9% of 68 attempts this season — best among FBS offenses. Charlotte’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.4% of attempts this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Charlotte Offensive Stats & Trends
Charlotte WRs have no touchdowns on 18 receptions in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.6
Charlotte Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 3.2 receptions (19 Rec/6 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1
Charlotte Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 19.7 receptions (296 Rec/15 TDs) since the 2023 season– 7th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.5
Charlotte WRs have averaged just 9.1 receptions per game (163/18) since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.8
Charlotte WRs have averaged just 10.3 receptions per game (62/6) this season– T-32nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6
Navy Offensive Stats & Trends
Navy have completed passes for 20+ yards on 19 of their 68 total passing attempts (28%) this season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11%
Navy WRs have averaged just 0.6 receptions per game (3/5) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6
Navy Skill Players have averaged 26.2 yards per reception (315 yards/12 catches) on 1st down this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6
Navy WRs have averaged 33.0 yards per reception (99 yards/3 catches) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4
Navy Skill Players have averaged 16.3 yards per reception (1,927 yards/118 catches) since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1
Charlotte 49ers Defensive Stats & Trends
Charlotte has tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 12 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.
Charlotte has not recorded a sack (20 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.4
Charlotte has allowed 12 TDs in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Charlotte has allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (7 completions/16 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: 62%
Charlotte has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 34 attempts (3%) on 3rd and long this season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%
Navy Midshipmen Defensive Stats & Trends
Navy has allowed no passing TDs (18 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 3.9
Navy has allowed no passing TDs (18 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8
Navy’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 28% of PATs this season– highest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Navy has allowed a Completion Pct of just 17% (3 completions/18 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%
Navy has allowed a Completion Pct of just 17% (3 completions/18 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 53%
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