Clemson vs Florida St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 6

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Florida State head coach Mike Norvell enters the field before an NCAA college football game against Pittsburgh in Pittsburgh, Saturday, Nov. 4, 2023. (AP Photo/Matt Freed)
(AP Photo/Matt Freed)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 04, 2024, 11:49 AM
  • The Clemson is a -14.5 point favorite vs. Florida St
  • The Clemson vs. Florida State Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN

The Clemson Tigers (3-1) visit Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium to take on the Florida State Seminoles (1-4) on Oct. 5 in Tallahassee, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.

Clemson is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-115).

The Clemson vs. Florida State Over/Under is 47.5 total points.

Bet now on Florida St vs Clemson & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Clemson vs. Florida State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Clemson-14.5 -11547.5 -110-650
Florida State +14.5 -10547.5 -110+475

Clemson vs Florida State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Clemson will win this game with 85.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Clemson and Florida St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Clemson vs Florida State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida State will cover the spread with 51.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Florida St vs Clemson and all games with BetMGM


  • Clemson has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+2.80 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+2.70 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Clemson have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Clemson have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Clemson players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Clemson Player Prop Bets Today

  • Cade Klubnik has hit the TD Passes Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.40 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Cade Klubnik has hit the Passing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Jake Briningstool has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Phil Mafah has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Tyler Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Florida State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Florida State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Roydell Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Lawrance Toafili has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Malik Benson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Clemson Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Clemson is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).

  • Clemson is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 6.04% ROI
  • Clemson is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Clemson is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Florida State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida St is 0-4 against the spread this college football season (-4.4 Units / -80% ROI).

  • Florida State is 0-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.95 Units / -91.93% ROI
  • Florida State is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -41.82% ROI
  • Florida State is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 34.55% ROI

Clemson: Keys to the Game vs. Florida State

Clemson is 9-2 (.818) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: .455

Clemson is 11-1 (.917) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .682

Clemson is 9-2 (.818) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-5th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .512

Clemson is 7-4 (.636) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .441

Florida State: Keys to the Game vs. Clemson

Florida State is undefeated (11-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .650

Florida State is 5-2 (.714) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-14th-best in FBS; Average: .441

Florida State is 11-5 (.688) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 24th-best in FBS; Average: .455

Florida State is undefeated (12-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .700

Matchup Notes for Clemson vs. Florida State

Florida State’s WRs has 194 receptions in 19 games (just 10.2 per game) since the 2023 season — T-24th-worst among FBS WRs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 16.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among ACC defenses.

Florida State’s WRs has 194 receptions in 19 games (just 10.2 per game) since the 2023 season — T-24th-worst among FBS WRs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 16.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.

Florida State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.0% of 593 attempts since the 2023 season — T-31st-best among FBS offenses. Clemson’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.1% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among ACC defenses.

Clemson’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.6% of 132 attempts this season — 23rd-best among FBS offenses. Florida State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.5% of attempts this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Clemson has 388 receptions in 17 games (22.8 per game) since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS skill players. Florida State’s defense has allowed just 15.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — best among P5 defenses.

Clemson has 388 receptions in 17 games (22.8 per game) since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS skill players. Florida State’s defense has allowed just 15.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.

Clemson Offensive Stats & Trends

Clemson’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.6% of 132 attempts this season — 23rd-best among FBS offenses. Florida State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.5% of attempts this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Clemson has 388 receptions in 17 games (22.8 per game) since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS skill players. Florida State’s defense has allowed just 15.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — best among P5 defenses.

Clemson RBs have averaged 12.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (136 yards / 11 touches) on 3rd down this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.9

Clemson Skill Players have averaged just 9.2 yards per reception (588 yards/64 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.5

Clemson has 388 receptions in 17 games (22.8 per game) since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS skill players. Florida State’s defense has allowed just 15.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.

Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida State’s WRs has 194 receptions in 19 games (just 10.2 per game) since the 2023 season — T-24th-worst among FBS WRs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 16.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among ACC defenses.

Florida State’s WRs has 194 receptions in 19 games (just 10.2 per game) since the 2023 season — T-24th-worst among FBS WRs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 16.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.

Florida State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.0% of 593 attempts since the 2023 season — T-31st-best among FBS offenses. Clemson’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.1% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among ACC defenses.

Florida State’s WRs has 194 receptions in 19 games (just 10.2 per game) since the 2023 season — T-24th-worst among FBS WRs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 11.4 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.

Florida State’s WRs has gained 2,838 yards on 194 receptions (14.6 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS WRs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Clemson Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

Clemson has allowed 8.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (343 yards / 40 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.3

Clemson has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 17 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Clemson has allowed a Completion Pct of just 54% (286 completions/534 attempts) since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 61%

Clemson has allowed opponents to catch just 286 of 529 passes (54% Reception Pct) since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 61%

Clemson has allowed a Completion Pct of just 54% (286 completions/534 attempts) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%

Florida State Seminoles Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 52% (285 completions/545 attempts) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 61%

Florida State has sacked opponents 4 times in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS

Florida State allowed a Completion Pct of just 48% (201 completions/415 attempts) in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 61%

Florida State has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 11 rushing attempts (36% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: 11%.

Florida State has sacked opponents 4 times in the Red Zone this season– most among Power Conference Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.