Clemson vs Virginia Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 11

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Virginia Tech quarterback Kyron Drones (1) during NCAA football game against Rutgers, Saturday, Sept. 16, 2023 in Piscataway, N.J. Rutgers won 35-16. (AP Photo/Vera Nieuwenhuis)
(AP Photo/Vera Nieuwenhuis)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 05, 2024, 3:16 PM
  • Clemson is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Virginia Tech
  • Clemson vs. Virginia Tech Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN

The Clemson Tigers (6-2) visit Lane Stadium/Worsham Field to take on the Virginia Tech Hokies (5-4) on Nov. 9 in Blacksburg, VA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.

Clemson is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Clemson vs. Virginia Tech Over/Under is 53.5 total points.

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Clemson vs. Virginia Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Clemson-6.5 -11053.5 -110-225
Virginia Tech +6.5 -11053.5 -110+185

Clemson vs Virginia Tech Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Clemson will win this game with 67.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Clemson and Virginia Tech, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Clemson vs Virginia Tech Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Virginia Tech will cover the spread with 67.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Clemson has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+5.10 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Clemson have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+2.65 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+1.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.60 Units / 11% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Clemson players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Clemson Player Prop Bets Today

  • Antonio Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Cade Klubnik has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Phil Mafah has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tyler Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Cade Klubnik has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 41% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Virginia Tech players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Virginia Tech Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Benji Gosnell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Stephen Gosnell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kyron Drones has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jaylin Lane has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kyron Drones has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 49% ROI)

Clemson Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Clemson is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.57% ROI).

  • Clemson is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.1 Units / 1.38% ROI
  • Clemson is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -15.91% ROI
  • Clemson is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 7.95% ROI

Virginia Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Virginia Tech is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).

  • Virginia Tech is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -12.02% ROI
  • Virginia Tech is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Virginia Tech is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI

Clemson: Keys to the Game vs. Virginia Tech

Clemson is 14-3 (.824) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– 23rd-best in FBS; Average: .644

Clemson is 13-1 (.929) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– 12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .785

Clemson is 13-3 (.812) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 15th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .677

Clemson is 13-5 (.722) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 32nd-best in FBS; Average: .609

Virginia Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Clemson

Virginia Tech is winless (0-7) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .530

Virginia Tech is winless (0-7) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .505

Virginia Tech is 4-9 (.308) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-14th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .472

Virginia Tech is 1-10 (.091) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .286

Matchup Notes for Clemson vs. Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech’s WRs has averaged 14.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-20th-best among FBS WRs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech’s WRs has averaged 14.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-20th-best among FBS WRs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-best among ACC defenses.

Virginia Tech has 346 receptions in 22 games (just 15.7 per game) since the 2023 season — T-23rd-worst among FBS skill players. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 17.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 28th-best among FBS defenses.

Clemson has 497 receptions in 21 games (23.7 per game) since the 2023 season — 17th-best among FBS skill players. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 16.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

Clemson has 497 receptions in 21 games (23.7 per game) since the 2023 season — best among ACC skill players. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 16.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

Clemson has averaged just 9.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst among FBS skill players. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 11.4 RAC since the 2023 season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.

Clemson Offensive Stats & Trends

Clemson has 497 receptions in 21 games (23.7 per game) since the 2023 season — 17th-best among FBS skill players. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 16.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

Clemson has 497 receptions in 21 games (23.7 per game) since the 2023 season — best among ACC skill players. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 16.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

Clemson has averaged just 9.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst among FBS skill players. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 11.4 RAC since the 2023 season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.

Clemson’s WRs has 315 receptions in 21 games (15.0 per game) since the 2023 season — T-31st-best among FBS WRs. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 16.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 4th-best among P5 defenses.

Clemson’s WRs has 315 receptions in 21 games (15.0 per game) since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among ACC WRs. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 16.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Virginia Tech RBs have averaged 12.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (133 yards / 11 touches) on 3rd and short this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.6

Virginia Tech’s WRs has averaged 14.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-20th-best among FBS WRs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech’s WRs has averaged 14.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-20th-best among FBS WRs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-best among ACC defenses.

Virginia Tech has 346 receptions in 22 games (just 15.7 per game) since the 2023 season — T-23rd-worst among FBS skill players. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 17.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 28th-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech’s WRs has averaged 14.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among ACC WRs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among P5 defenses.

Clemson Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

Clemson allowed no passing TDs (32 pass attempts) last week– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.0

Clemson has allowed a Completion Pct of just 17% (1 completions/6 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

Clemson did not allow any touchdowns on 17 completions last week– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.8

Clemson allowed 10.8 Yards per Carry (184 yards/17 carries) on 1st down last week– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.3

Clemson has allowed 7.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (370 yards / 47 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 5.2

Virginia Tech Hokies Defensive Stats & Trends

Virginia Tech tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 33 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) last week– worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Virginia Tech has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 26 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.

Virginia Tech has allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (7 completions/23 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 56%

Virginia Tech has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (27/231) on 1st down since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 6%

Virginia Tech has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (65/605) since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: 7%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.