- The Arizona is a -3.5 point favorite vs. Colorado
- The Colorado vs. Arizona Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
The Colorado Buffaloes (4-2) visit Arizona Stadium to take on the Arizona Wildcats (3-3) on Oct. 19 in Tucson, AZ. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT.
Arizona is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Colorado vs. Arizona Over/Under is 57.5 total points.
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Colorado vs. Arizona Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Colorado | +3.5 -115 | 57.5 -110 | +135 |
| Arizona | -3.5 -105 | 57.5 -110 | -160 |
Colorado vs Arizona Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Arizona will win this game with 59.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Colorado and Arizona, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Colorado vs Arizona Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arizona will cover the spread with 54.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Colorado Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Colorado have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- Colorado have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Colorado has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Colorado has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+0.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- Colorado has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 11 games (+0.60 Units / 5% ROI)
Arizona Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arizona has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.75 Units / 6% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Arizona have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Colorado players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Colorado Player Prop Bets Today
- Shedeur Sanders has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Charlie Offerdahl has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Shedeur Sanders has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jimmy Horn Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arizona players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Arizona Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Montana Lemonious-Craig has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Noah Fifita has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Tetairoa McMillan has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Colorado Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Colorado is 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.85 Units / 28.46% ROI).
- Colorado is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.5 Units / 42.06% ROI
- Colorado is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Colorado is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
Arizona Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arizona is 1-5 against the spread this college football season (-4.6 Units / -68.15% ROI).
- Arizona is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -0.88% ROI
- Arizona is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Arizona is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
Colorado: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona
Colorado is 3-1 (.750) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .645
Colorado is 2-5 (.286) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .597
Colorado is 4-8 (.333) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .608
Colorado is 4-9 (.308) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .461
Arizona: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado
Arizona is 8-3 (.727) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .534
Arizona is 11-3 (.733) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .646
Arizona is 11-3 (.733) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: .591
Arizona is 9-3 (.692) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .542
Matchup Notes for Colorado vs. Arizona
Arizona’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.2% of 231 attempts this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS offenses. Colorado’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.0% of attempts this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona’s TEs has 23 receptions in 6 games (3.8 per game) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Colorado’s defense has allowed just 2.3 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Keyan Burnett (ARI) has 16 receptions in 6 games (2.7 per game) this season — 5th-best of Qualified Big 12 Tight Ends. Colorado’s defense has allowed just 2.3 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Colorado’s TEs has 6 receptions in 4 games (just 1.5 per game) this season — worst among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed 3.8 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Colorado’s TEs has gained 32 yards on 6 receptions (just 5.3 YPR) this season — worst among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 9.0 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Colorado’s TEs has averaged just 5.3 yards after the catch this season — worst among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 9.0 RAC to TEs this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
Colorado Offensive Stats & Trends
Colorado Skill Players have caught 12 of 14 passes (86% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 57%
Colorado TEs have averaged just 4.2 yards per reception (17 yards/4 catches) in the 1st half this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.8
Colorado RBs have averaged 71.1 rushing yards per game (1,280/18) since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 126.2
Colorado TEs have been targeted 0.5 times per game (1/2) in the 2nd half this season– lowest among Big 12 Teams; Average: 2.8
Colorado TEs have averaged just 6.0 yards per reception (30 yards/5 catches) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.3
Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends
Arizona Skill Players have averaged 22.2 yards per reception (355 yards/16 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.7
Arizona’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.2% of 231 attempts this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS offenses. Colorado’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.0% of attempts this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona’s TEs has 23 receptions in 6 games (3.8 per game) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Colorado’s defense has allowed just 2.3 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona Skill Players have picked up first downs on 14 receptions in close and late situations this season– most among Big 12 Teams
Arizona WRs have averaged 23.8 yards per reception (286 yards/12 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 15.4
Colorado Buffaloes Defensive Stats & Trends
Colorado has allowed 57.8 receiving yards per game (347/6) to RBs this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 24.3
Colorado has allowed first downs on 23% of pass attempts on 3rd down this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 35%
Colorado has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 53 rushing attempts (2% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
Colorado has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 53 rushing attempts (2% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.
Colorado has tackled opponents for a loss on 11 of 45 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 22nd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Arizona Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Arizona has allowed 6 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-most in the Big 12
Arizona has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 16 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.
Arizona has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 16 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 10%.
Arizona has no interceptions and 6 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 11.5
Arizona has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 16 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
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