Colorado St vs Nevada Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 10

Nevada quarterback Brendon Lewis (2) in the second half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Nov. 18, 2023, in Fort Collins, Colo. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
  • Colorado St is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Nevada
  • Colorado State vs. Nevada Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBSSN

The Colorado State Rams (5-3) visit Clarence Mackay Stadium to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack (3-6) on Nov. 2 in Reno, NV. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.

Colorado St is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Colorado State vs. Nevada Over/Under is 45.5 total points.

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Colorado State vs. Nevada Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Colorado State-1.5 -11045.5 -110-120
Nevada +1.5 -11045.5 -110+100

Colorado State vs Nevada Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Colorado State will win this game with 52.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Colorado St and Nevada, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Colorado State vs Nevada Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Nevada will cover the spread with 74.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Colorado State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+2.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Colorado State have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games at home (+6.10 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Nevada have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games at home (+1.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.55 Units / 7% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Nevada players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nevada Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Brendon Lewis has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Brendon Lewis has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Colorado State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Colorado St is 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.65 Units / 18.64% ROI).

  • Colorado State is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 8.7% ROI
  • Colorado State is 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
  • Colorado State is 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI

Nevada Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Nevada is 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.7 Units / 17.09% ROI).

  • Nevada is 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / -12% ROI
  • Nevada is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • Nevada is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Colorado State: Keys to the Game vs. Nevada

Colorado State is 7-1 (.875) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-14th-best in FBS; Average: .646

Colorado State is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .286

Colorado State is 7-1 (.875) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– 8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .606

Nevada: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado State

Nevada is winless (0-9) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .414

Nevada is 5-13 (.278) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .624

Nevada was winless (0-5) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .533

Nevada is 2-14 (.125) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst in FBS; Average: .457

Matchup Notes for Colorado State vs. Nevada

Nevada’s offense has thrown for 1,720 passing yards in 9 games (just 191.1 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS offenses. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 265.0 passing yards per game this season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Nevada’s QBs has thrown for 1,702 passing yards in 9 games (just 189.1 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS teams. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 265.0 passing yards per game this season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Nevada’s RBs has 35 receptions in 9 games (3.9 per game) this season — T-32nd-best among FBS RBs. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 22.2 receptions per game this season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s RBs has averaged just 5.6 yards after the catch this season — T-19th-worst among FBS RBs. Nevada’s defense has allowed 9.2 RAC to RBs this season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado State Offensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State’s RBs has averaged just 5.6 yards after the catch this season — T-19th-worst among FBS RBs. Nevada’s defense has allowed 9.2 RAC to RBs this season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado State TEs had 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Colorado State RBs have no touchdowns on 40 receptions since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.0

Colorado State RBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Colorado State TEs have been targeted 51 times in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends

Nevada RBs have averaged just 3.2 Yards per Carry (308 yards/96 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Nevada’s offense has thrown for 1,720 passing yards in 9 games (just 191.1 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS offenses. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 265.0 passing yards per game this season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Nevada RBs averaged 3.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (859 yards / 259 touches) in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Nevada’s QBs has thrown for 1,702 passing yards in 9 games (just 189.1 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS teams. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 265.0 passing yards per game this season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Nevada RBs have no touchdowns on 63 receptions since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.0

Colorado State Rams Defensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State forced 4 fumbles last week– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Colorado State has allowed a Completion Pct of 78% (14 completions/18 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 54%

Colorado State has allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (44 completions/63 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%

Colorado State has allowed a Completion Pct of 68% (456 completions/675 attempts) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 61%

Colorado State has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (10/287) this season– T-3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 6%

Nevada Wolf Pack Defensive Stats & Trends

Nevada has forced one fumble on 304 carries this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 42.9

Nevada has forced one fumble on 304 carries this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 43.8

Nevada allowed 4 rushing TDs in the Red Zone last week– 2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Nevada allowed 4 rushing TDs in the Red Zone last week– 3rd-most in FBS

Nevada has allowed 8.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (599 yards / 72 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 5.2


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About the Author

Shane Jackson

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Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.