E Michigan vs Kent State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 5

Kent State wide receiver Chrishon McCray (22) gets ready to run a play against Arkansas during an NCAA football game on Saturday, Sept.9, 2023, in Fayetteville, Ark. (AP Photo/Michael Woods)
(AP Photo/Michael Woods)
  • The E Michigan is a -15.5 point favorite vs. Kent State
  • The Eastern Michigan vs. Kent State Total(Over/Under): 46.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The Eastern Michigan Eagles (3-1) visit Dix Stadium to take on the Kent State Golden Flashes (0-4) on Sep. 28 in Kent, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

E Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).

The Eastern Michigan vs. Kent State Over/Under is 46.5 total points.

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Eastern Michigan vs. Kent State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Eastern Michigan-15.5 -11046.5 -110-650
Kent State +15.5 -11046.5 -110+450

Eastern Michigan vs Kent State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Eastern Michigan will win this game with 84.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both E Michigan and Kent State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Eastern Michigan vs Kent State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kent State will cover the spread with 78.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Kent State vs E Michigan and all games with BetMGM


  • Eastern Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Eastern Michigan have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Eastern Michigan has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Eastern Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Eastern Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Kent State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Kent State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Kent State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Kent State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Kent State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Chrishon McCray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Eastern Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

E Michigan is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 68.97% ROI).

Kent State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kent State is 0-4 against the spread this college football season (-4.4 Units / -100% ROI).

Eastern Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Kent State

Eastern Michigan is 6-2 (.750) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .549

Eastern Michigan is 2-4 (.333) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: .551

Eastern Michigan is 6-2 (.750) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .620

Eastern Michigan is 1-6 (.143) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– 11th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .336

Kent State: Keys to the Game vs. Eastern Michigan

Kent State is 1-13 (.071) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: .632

Kent State is winless (0-3) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .507

Kent State is winless (0-14) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Kent State is 1-13 (.071) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: .547

Matchup Notes for Eastern Michigan vs. Kent State

Kent State’s TEs has 0 receptions in 2 games (just 0.0 per game) this season — T-worst among FBS TEs. Eastern Michigan’s defense has allowed 20.8 receptions per game this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kent State has 48 receptions in 4 games (just 12.0 per game) this season — 11th-worst among FBS skill players. Eastern Michigan’s defense has allowed 20.8 receptions per game this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Luke Floriea (KNT) has 16 receptions in 4 games (4.0 per game) this season — T-10th-worst of Qualified Skill Players. Eastern Michigan’s defense has allowed 20.8 receptions per game this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Eastern Michigan’s RBs has 5 receptions in 4 games (just 1.2 per game) this season — T-13th-worst among FBS RBs. Kent State’s defense has allowed 21.2 receptions per game this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Eastern Michigan’s RBs have just 11.8 receiving yards per game this season — 28th-worst among FBS RBs. Kent State’s defense has allowed 313.5 receiving yards per game this season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.

Eastern Michigan’s RBs has rushed for 419 yards on 121 carries (just 3.5 YPC) this season — T-9th-worst among FBS RBs. Kent State’s defense have allowed 6.4 YPC this season — T-3rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Eastern Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Eastern Michigan WRs have averaged a touchdown every 22.5 receptions (180 Rec/8 TDs) since the 2023 season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.8

Eastern Michigan have been sacked on 17% of pass attempts (19/109) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Offenses; Average: 7%

Eastern Michigan RBs have averaged 3.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (466 yards / 126 touches) this season– T-4th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

Eastern Michigan have been sacked on 17% of pass attempts (19/109) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

Eastern Michigan RBs have averaged just 3.5 Yards per Carry (419 yards/121 carries) this season– T-9th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Kent State Offensive Stats & Trends

Kent State RBs have averaged 2.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (165 yards / 69 touches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Kent State RBs have averaged just 2.3 Yards per Carry (151 yards/67 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Kent State RBs have averaged 2.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (284 yards / 104 touches) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

Kent State RBs have averaged just -1.8 yards per reception (-7 yards/4 catches) on 1st down since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 8.1

Kent State Skill Players caught just 2 of 12 passes(17% Reception Pct) last week– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 63%

Eastern Michigan Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends

Eastern Michigan sacked opposing QBs on 22% of pass attempts (6/27) last week– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 6%

Eastern Michigan sacked opponents 6 times last week– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Eastern Michigan sacked opposing QBs on 22% of pass attempts (6/27) last week– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 5%

Eastern Michigan did not allow any rushing touchdowns on 35 rushes last week– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.1

Eastern Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 16 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-13th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.

Kent State Golden Flashes Defensive Stats & Trends

Kent State has allowed 10 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS

Kent State has allowed 10 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Kent State allowed 5 TD passes last week– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Kent State has allowed 604.2 yards from scrimmage per game this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 387.3

Kent State has allowed 10 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS


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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.