East Carolina vs Charlotte Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 6

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Charlotte wide receiver Jairus Mack (12) reacts during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Maryland, Saturday, Sept. 9, 2023, in College Park, Md. (AP Photo/Nick Wass)
(AP Photo/Nick Wass)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 02, 2024, 2:24 PM
  • The East Carolina is a -8.5 point favorite vs. Charlotte
  • The East Carolina vs. Charlotte Total (Over/Under): 47 points
  • TV Channel: ESPNU

The East Carolina Pirates (3-2) visit Jerry Richardson Stadium to take on the Charlotte 49ers (2-3) on Oct. 5 in Charlotte, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

East Carolina is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The East Carolina vs. Charlotte Over/Under is 47 total points.

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East Carolina vs. Charlotte Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
East Carolina-8.5 -11047 -110-350
Charlotte +8.5 -11047 -110+260

East Carolina vs Charlotte Prediction:

The winning team model predicts East Carolina will win this game with 70.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both East Carolina and Charlotte, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

East Carolina vs Charlotte Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Charlotte will cover the spread with 63.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • East Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+5.90 Units / 56% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • East Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • East Carolina have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Charlotte has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Charlotte has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Charlotte has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Charlotte have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for East Carolina players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best East Carolina Player Prop Bets Today

  • Rahjai Harris has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)

East Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

East Carolina is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 16.36% ROI).

  • East Carolina is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -1.01% ROI
  • East Carolina is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -60% ROI
  • East Carolina is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 54.55% ROI

Charlotte Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Charlotte is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -42.2% ROI).

  • Charlotte is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -10.87% ROI
  • Charlotte is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 34.55% ROI
  • Charlotte is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -41.82% ROI

East Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Charlotte

East Carolina is winless (0-6) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .398

East Carolina is winless (0-6) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .451

East Carolina is 1-8 (.111) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .420

East Carolina is 1-6 (.143) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: .487

Charlotte: Keys to the Game vs. East Carolina

Charlotte is 4-2 (.667) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .506

Charlotte is 3-12 (.200) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .426

Charlotte is 3-12 (.200) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .487

Charlotte is 2-12 (.143) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .398

Matchup Notes for East Carolina vs. Charlotte

Charlotte’s RBs has rushed for 1,840 yards on 406 carries (just 4.5 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-26th-worst among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense have allowed just 3.2 YPC since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Charlotte’s RBs has rushed for 1,840 yards on 406 carries (just 4.5 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-26th-worst among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense have allowed just 3.2 YPC since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.

Charlotte’s RBs has rushed for 1,840 yards on 406 carries (just 4.5 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-26th-worst among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense have allowed just 3.8 YPC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.

East Carolina’s offense has thrown for 1,365 passing yards in 5 games (273.0 YPG) this season — 34th-best among FBS offenses. Charlotte’s defense has allowed 264.4 passing yards per game this season — 21st-worst among FBS defenses.

East Carolina’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.0% of 560 attempts since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS offenses. Charlotte’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.7% of attempts since the 2023 season — 24th-best among FBS defenses.

East Carolina’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.6% of 174 attempts this season — T-33rd-best among FBS offenses. Charlotte’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.1% of attempts this season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.

East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

East Carolina’s offense has thrown for 1,365 passing yards in 5 games (273.0 YPG) this season — 34th-best among FBS offenses. Charlotte’s defense has allowed 264.4 passing yards per game this season — 21st-worst among FBS defenses.

East Carolina’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.0% of 560 attempts since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS offenses. Charlotte’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.7% of attempts since the 2023 season — 24th-best among FBS defenses.

East Carolina’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.6% of 174 attempts this season — T-33rd-best among FBS offenses. Charlotte’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.1% of attempts this season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.

East Carolina WRs have averaged a touchdown every 27.8 receptions (222 Rec/8 TDs) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.8

East Carolina’s RBs has rushed for 1,503 yards on 371 carries (just 4.1 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-6th-worst among FBS RBs. Charlotte’s defense have allowed 4.7 YPC since the 2023 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Charlotte Offensive Stats & Trends

Charlotte Skill Players have 5 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Charlotte’s RBs has rushed for 1,840 yards on 406 carries (just 4.5 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-26th-worst among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense have allowed just 3.2 YPC since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Charlotte TEs have been targeted 13 times in the 4th quarter this season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams

Charlotte’s RBs has rushed for 1,840 yards on 406 carries (just 4.5 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-26th-worst among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense have allowed just 3.2 YPC since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.

Charlotte RBs have 80 receiving yards in close and late situations this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

East Carolina Pirates Defensive Stats & Trends

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 19 rushing attempts (42% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

East Carolina has allowed one rushing TD on 19 carries in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.1

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 25 of 94 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 25 of 94 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

East Carolina has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 205 carries (68.3 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 20

Charlotte 49ers Defensive Stats & Trends

Charlotte has allowed 14.9 yards per completion (1,322 yards/89 completions) this season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 11.6

Charlotte had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 36.8

Charlotte has allowed 14.9 yards per completion (1,322 yards/89 completions) this season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.0

Charlotte did not sack opposing QBs on any of 39 pass attempts last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 7%

Charlotte has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 10 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.