- Texas is a -21.5 point favorite vs. Florida
- Florida vs. Texas Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC
The Florida Gators (4-4) visit Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium to take on the Texas Longhorns (7-1) on Nov. 9 in Austin, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.
Texas is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -21.5 (-110).
The Florida vs. Texas Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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Florida vs. Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Florida | +21.5 -110 | 47.5 -105 | +1100 |
| Texas | -21.5 -110 | 47.5 -115 | -2500 |
Florida vs Texas Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida and Texas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Florida vs Texas Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida will cover the spread with 53.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Florida Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+7.10 Units / 64% ROI)
- Florida have covered the 1H Spread in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 93% ROI)
- Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Florida has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Florida has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+3.40 Units / 85% ROI)
Texas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.25 Units / 4% ROI)
- Texas has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+6.55 Units / 1% ROI)
- Texas have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.80 Units / 10% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Florida players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Florida Player Prop Bets Today
- Elijhah Badger has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Eugene Wilson III has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- DJ Lagway has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Graham Mertz has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- DJ Lagway has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 43% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texas Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Isaiah Bond has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jaydon Blue has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Quinn Ewers has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- Quintrevion Wisner has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Quinn Ewers has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 65% ROI)
Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Florida is 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI).
- Florida is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -9.88% ROI
- Florida is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
- Florida is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas is 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI).
- Texas is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 0.34% ROI
- Texas is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -15.91% ROI
- Texas is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 7.95% ROI
Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Texas
Florida is 2-8 (.200) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .386
Florida is 2-8 (.200) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .438
Florida is 10-2 (.833) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– 39th-best in FBS; Average: .752
Florida is 4-9 (.308) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-14th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .472
Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Florida
Texas is undefeated (12-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .597
Texas is 19-3 (.864) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .583
Texas is 13-1 (.929) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .701
Texas is 19-1 (.950) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .675
Matchup Notes for Florida vs. Texas
Texas has averaged 12.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS skill players. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.9 RAC since the 2023 season — worst among SEC defenses.
Texas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.5% of 752 attempts since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS offenses. Florida’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.0% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.5% of 752 attempts since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS offenses. Florida’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.0% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst among P5 defenses.
Florida has gained 1,958 yards on 137 receptions (14.3 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among Power 5 skill players. Texas’s defense has allowed just 7.9 Yards Per Reception this season — best among FBS defenses.
Florida has gained 1,958 yards on 137 receptions (14.3 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among Power 5 skill players. Texas’s defense has allowed just 7.9 Yards Per Reception this season — best among SEC defenses.
Florida’s WRs has gained 1,584 yards on 92 receptions (17.2 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Power 5 WRs. Texas’s defense has allowed just 7.9 Yards Per Reception this season — best among P5 defenses.
Florida Offensive Stats & Trends
Florida WRs have averaged just 1.0 yards per reception (1 yards/1 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 11.4
Florida Skill Players have averaged 16.8 yards per reception (352 yards/21 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 11.8
Florida has gained 1,958 yards on 137 receptions (14.3 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among Power 5 skill players. Texas’s defense has allowed just 7.9 Yards Per Reception this season — best among FBS defenses.
Florida has gained 1,958 yards on 137 receptions (14.3 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among Power 5 skill players. Texas’s defense has allowed just 7.9 Yards Per Reception this season — best among SEC defenses.
Florida’s WRs has gained 1,584 yards on 92 receptions (17.2 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Power 5 WRs. Texas’s defense has allowed just 7.9 Yards Per Reception this season — best among P5 defenses.
Texas Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas has averaged 12.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS skill players. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.9 RAC since the 2023 season — worst among SEC defenses.
Texas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.5% of 752 attempts since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS offenses. Florida’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.0% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.5% of 752 attempts since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS offenses. Florida’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.0% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst among P5 defenses.
Texas’s WRs has averaged 14.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-best among SEC WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 14.4 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas’s WRs has averaged 14.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 14.4 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida Gators Defensive Stats & Trends
Florida intercepted 3 of 325 attempts (108.3 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.5
Florida has allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (5 completions/5 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 63%
Florida allowed 6.0 touchdowns per interception (18 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) in the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
Florida allowed 6.0 touchdowns per interception (18 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) in the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 1.7
Florida has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 23 of 565 attempts (4%) since the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 2%
Texas Longhorns Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas opponents has averaged 79.0 Passing Attempts per TD (237 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season– best in FBS; Average: 21.1
Texas has allowed just 7.9 yards per completion (1,084 yards/138 completions) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 11.5
Texas has allowed just 7.9 yards per completion (1,084 yards/138 completions) this season– best in FBS; Average: 11.8
Texas opponents has averaged 79.0 Passing Attempts per TD (237 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 26.8
Texas has allowed just 7.9 yards per completion (1,084 yards/138 completions) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.6
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